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This paper addresses the following question: given a sample of i.i.d. random variables with finite variance, can one construct an estimator of the unknown mean that performs nearly as well as if the data were normally distributed? One of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Stanislav Minsker

We study the problem of estimating the common mean $\mu$ of $n$ independent symmetric random variables with different and unknown standard deviations $\sigma_1 \le \sigma_2 \le \cdots \le\sigma_n$. We show that, under some mild regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Luc Devroye , Silvio Lattanzi , Gabor Lugosi , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We construct the general permutation invariant Gaussian 2-matrix model for matrices of arbitrary size $D$. The parameters of the model are given in terms of variables defined using the representation theory of the symmetric group $S_D$. A…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-03-30 George Barnes , Adrian Padellaro , Sanjaye Ramgoolam

For differences between means of continuous data from independent groups, the customary scale-free measure of effect is the standardized mean difference (SMD). To justify use of SMD, one should be reasonably confident that the group-level…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

Vecchia's approximate likelihood for Gaussian process parameters depends on how the observations are ordered, which can be viewed as a deficiency because the exact likelihood is permutation-invariant. This article takes the alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-20 Joseph Guinness

We propose the notion of a sample distortion (SD) function for independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) compressive distributions to fundamentally quantify the achievable reconstruction performance of compressed sensing for certain…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Chunli Guo , Mike E. Davies

In this paper we extend the work of Owen (2007) by deriving a second order expansion for the slope parameter in logistic regression, when the size of the majority class is unbounded and the minority class is finite. More precisely, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Dorian Goldman , Bo Zhang

We present a theory and accompanying importance sampling method for computing rate constants in spatially inhomogenious systems. Using the relationship between rate constants and path space partition functions, we illustrate that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-05 Addison J. Schile , David T. Limmer

An order parameter description of the Anderson-Mott transition (AMT) is given. We first derive an order parameter field theory for the AMT, and then present a mean-field solution. It is shown that the mean-field critical exponents are exact…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 D. Belitz , T. R. Kirkpatrick

Split conformal prediction provides finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability, but this guarantee averages over the random calibration sample. We study instead the law of the calibration-conditional coverage induced by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Thiago R. Ramos , Helton Graziadei , Luben M. C. Cabezas

We study a continuous quasi-two-dimensional order-disorder phase transition that occurs in a simple model of a material that is inhomogeneously strained due to the presence of dislocation lines. Performing Monte Carlo simulations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-15 Charo I. Del Genio , Kevin E. Bassler

We propose a variational framework for analyzing dependence structures of convex compact random sets based on their support functions. The approach relies on the canonical even--odd decomposition on the unit sphere, which separates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Tuyen Luc Tri

When the individual studies assembled for a meta-analysis report means ($\mu_C$, $\mu_T$) for their treatment (T) and control (C) arms, but those data are on different scales or come from different instruments, the customary measure of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

We consider the least-squares regression problem and provide a detailed asymptotic analysis of the performance of averaged constant-step-size stochastic gradient descent (a.k.a. least-mean-squares). In the strongly-convex case, we provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Alexandre Défossez , Francis Bach

The distribution of the spacing, or the difference between consecutive order statistics, is known only for uniform and exponential random variates. We add here logistic and Gumbel variates, and present an estimator for distributions with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Greg Kreider

We propose a summary measure defined as the expected value of a random variable over disjoint subsets of its support that are specified by a given grid of proportions, and consider its use in a regression modeling framework. The obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Celia García-Pareja , Matteo Bottai

We consider a three-level meta-analysis of standardized mean differences. The standard method of estimation uses inverse-variance weights and REML/PL estimation of variance components for the random effects. We introduce new moment-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

We study the estimation of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of a $p$-dimensional normal random vector based on $n$ independent observations corrupted by additive noise. Only a general nonparametric assumption is imposed on the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Denis Belomestny , Mathias Trabs , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

The estimation of normalizing constants is a fundamental step in probabilistic model comparison. Sequential Monte Carlo methods may be used for this task and have the advantage of being inherently parallelizable. However, the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-16 Marco Fraccaro , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther
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