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Route-level travel time reliability requires characterizing the distribution of total travel time across correlated segments -- a problem where existing methods either assume independence (fast but miscalibrated) or model dependence via…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Vadim Sokolov , Refik Soyer

Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

This paper presents two novel approaches for uncertainty estimation adapted and extended for the multi-link bus travel time problem. The uncertainty is modeled directly as part of recurrent artificial neural networks, but using two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Niklas Christoffer Petersen , Anders Parslov , Filipe Rodrigues

We introduce a Bayesian model for estimating the distribution of ambulance travel times on each road segment in a city, using Global Positioning System (GPS) data. Due to sparseness and error in the GPS data, the exact ambulance paths and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-09 Bradford S. Westgate , Dawn B. Woodard , David S. Matteson , Shane G. Henderson

Stability of Wardrop equilibria is analyzed for dynamical transportation networks in which the drivers' route choices are influenced by information at multiple temporal and spatial scales. The considered model involves a continuum of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Giacomo Como , Ketan Savla , Daron Acemoglu , Munther A. Dahleh , Emilio Frazzoli

Urban bus transit agencies need reliable, network-wide delay predictions to provide accurate arrival information to passengers and support real-time operational control. Accurate predictions help passengers plan their trips, reduce waiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Emna Boudabbous , Mohamed Karaa , Lokman Sboui , Julio Montecinos , Omar Alam

In a mobile ad hoc network (MANET), effective prediction of time-varying interferences can enable adaptive transmission designs and therefore improve the communication performance. This paper investigates interference prediction in MANETs…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Yirui Cong , Xiangyun Zhou , Rodney A. Kennedy

We present here a real-time control model for the train dynamics in a linear metro line system. The model describes the train dynamics taking into account average passenger arrival rates on platforms, including control laws for train dwell…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Florian Schanzenbacher , Nadir Farhi , Fabien Leurent , Gérard Gabriel

We investigate the behavior of extended urban traffic networks within the framework of percolation theory by using real and synthetic traffic data. Our main focus shifts from the statistical properties of the cluster size distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-21 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera

The study of the dynamic relationship between topological structure of a transit network and the mobility patterns of transit vehicles on this network is critical towardsdevising smart and time-aware solutions to transit management and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-03-22 Ikechukwu Maduako , Emerson Cavalheri , Monica Wachowicz

The intelligent upgrading of metropolitan rail transit systems has made it feasible to implement demand-side management policies that integrate multiple operational strategies in practical operations. However, the tight interdependence…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Lixing Yang , Yahan Lu , Jiateng Yin , Shadi Sharif Azadeh

Recent advances in spatial and temporal networks have enabled researchers to more-accurately describe many real-world systems such as urban transport networks. In this paper, we study the response of real-world spatio-temporal networks to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-05 Matthew J. Williams , Mirco Musolesi

Travel time estimation is one of the core tasks for the development of intelligent transportation systems. Most previous works model the road segments or intersections separately by learning their spatio-temporal characteristics to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Huan Yan , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang , Yong Li

Traffic flow prediction is a big challenge for transportation authorities as it helps plan and develop better infrastructure. State-of-the-art models often struggle to consider the data in the best way possible, as well as intrinsic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

Nowadays, huge efforts are made to modernize the air traffic management systems to cope with uncertainty, complexity and sub-optimality. An answer is to enhance the information sharing between the stakeholders. This paper introduces a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-18 Areski Hadjaz , Gaétan Marceau , Pierre Savéant , Marc Schoenauer

We introduce a modeling framework for an urban tram network based on a hyperbolic partial differential equation describing the transport of passengers along the network, coupled with a family of stochastic processes representing passenger…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Thomas Schillinger

Using strategic timetables as input for railway network design has become increasingly popular among western European railway infrastructure operators. Although both railway timetabling and railway network design on their own are well…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Tim Sander , Nadine Friesen , Karl Nachtigall , Nils Nießen

In an effort to improve user satisfaction and transit image, transit service providers worldwide offer delay compensations. Smart card data enables the estimation of passenger delays throughout the network and aid in monitoring service…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-30 Panchamy Krishnakumari , Oded Cats , Hans van Lint

Understanding and predicting mobility dynamics in transportation networks is critical for infrastructure planning, resilience analysis, and traffic management. Traditional graph-based models typically assume memoryless movement, limiting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Chen Zhang , Jürgen Hackl

A novel predictor for traffic flow forecasting, namely spatio-temporal Bayesian network predictor, is proposed. Unlike existing methods, our approach incorporates all the spatial and temporal information available in a transportation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Shiliang Sun , Changshui Zhang , Yi Zhang
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