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This paper introduces a traffic evacuation model for railway disruptions to improve resilience. The research focuses on the problem of failure of several nodes or lines on the railway network topology. We proposed a holistic approach that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Hangli Ge , Xiaojie Yang , Jinyu Chen , Francesco Flammini , Noboru Koshizuka

Railway systems form an important means of transport across the world. However, congestions or disruptions may significantly decrease these systems' efficiencies, making predicting and understanding the resulting train delays a priority for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-14 Mark M. Dekker , Alexey N. Medvedev , Jan Rombouts , Grzegorz Siudem , Liubov Tupikina

Railways are a key infrastructure for any modern country. The reliability and resilience of this peculiar transportation system may be challenged by different shocks such as disruptions, strikes and adverse weather conditions. These events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-19 Bernardo Monechi , Pietro Gravino , Riccardo di Clemente , Vito D. P. Servedio

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

Time-varying graphs are a useful model for networks with dynamic connectivity such as vehicular networks, yet, despite their great modeling power, many important features of time-varying graphs are still poorly understood. In this paper, we…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-01-27 Qingkai Liang , Eytan Modiano

In the present work we study Bayesian nonparametric inference for the continuous-time M/G/1 queueing system. In the focus of the study is the unobservable service time distribution. We assume that the only available data of the system are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Cornelia Wichelhaus , Moritz von Rohrscheidt

The lack of GPS data limits the ability to reconstruct the actual routes taken by cyclists in urban areas. This article introduces an inference method based solely on trip durations and origin-destination pairs from bike-sharing system…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-18 Bertrand Jouve , Paul Rochet , Mohamadou Salifou

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Nicolo Colombo , Ricardo Silva , Soong M Kang , Arthur Gretton

Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Stanislav S. Borysov , Bernardete Ribeiro , Francisco C. Pereira

As an economical and healthy mode of shared transportation, Bike Sharing System (BSS) develops quickly in many big cities. An accurate prediction method can help BSS schedule resources in advance to meet the demands of users, and definitely…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Weiguo Pian , Yingbo Wu , Ziyi Kou

This paper introduces a combined approach for the recovery of a timetable by rescheduling trips and vehicle circulations for a rail-based transportation system subject to disruptions. We propose a novel event-based integer programming (IP)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-01-12 Sandor P. Fekete , Alexander Kroeller , Martin Lorek , Marc Pfetsch

Detecting symmetry from data is a fundamental problem in signal analysis, providing insight into underlying structure and constraints. When data emerge as trajectories of dynamical systems, symmetries encode structural properties of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Ziad Ghanem , Chang Hyunwoong , Preskella Mrad

This paper addresses the problem of traffic prediction in distributed backend systems and proposes a graph neural network based modeling approach to overcome the limitations of traditional models in capturing complex dependencies and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Zhimin Qiu , Feng Liu , Yuxiao Wang , Chenrui Hu , Ziyu Cheng , Di Wu

Public transportation systems are experiencing an increase in commuter traffic. This increase underscores the need for resilience strategies to manage unexpected service disruptions, ensuring rapid and effective responses that minimize…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Sara Jaber , Mostafa Ameli , S. M. Hassan Mahdavi , Neila Bhouri

Travel time on a route varies substantially by time of day and from day to day. It is critical to understand to what extent this variation is correlated with various factors, such as weather, incidents, events or travel demand level in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Shuguan Yang , Sean Qian

Quantifying how spatial disorder affects the movement of a diffusing particle or agent is fundamental to target search studies. When diffusion occurs on a network, that is on a highly disordered environment, we lack the mathematical tools…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-15 Daniel Marris , Chittaranjan Hens , Subrata Ghosh , Luca Giuggioli

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Dynamic transportation networks have been analyzed for years by means of static graph-based indicators in order to study the temporal evolution of relevant network components, and to reveal complex dependencies that would not be easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani , Augusto Voltes-Dorta

The possible unavailability of urban rail-based transport services due to planned maintenance activities may have significant consequences on the perceived quality of service, thus affecting railway attractiveness. To cope with the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-07 A lice Consilvio , Lorenzo Calabrò , Angela Di Febbraro , Nicola Sacco

This paper presents a mathematical model for the train dynamics in a mass-transit metro line system with one symmetrically operated junction. We distinguish three parts: a central part and two branches. The tracks are spatially discretized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Florian Schanzenbächer , Nadir Farhi , Zoi Christoforou , Fabien Leurent , Gérard Gabriel