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Feature subsampling is a core component of random forests and other ensemble methods. While recent theory suggests that this randomization acts solely as a variance reduction mechanism analogous to ridge regularization, these results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski , Yan Shuo Tan , Chang Yu

We address the problem of portfolio optimization under the simplest coherent risk measure, i.e. the expected shortfall. As it is well known, one can map this problem into a linear programming setting. For some values of the external…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Imre Kondor , Marc Mezard

Empirically it has been observed that the performance of deep neural networks steadily improves as we increase model size, contradicting the classical view on overfitting and generalization. Recently, the double descent phenomena has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári , Omar Rivasplata , Amal Rannen-Triki , Razvan Pascanu

We introduce a bottleneck method for learning data representations based on information deficiency, rather than the more traditional information sufficiency. A variational upper bound allows us to implement this method efficiently. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Pradeep Kr. Banerjee , Guido Montúfar

Meta-learning involves training models on a variety of training tasks in a way that enables them to generalize well on new, unseen test tasks. In this work, we consider meta-learning within the framework of high-dimensional multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-01 Yanhao Jin , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Debashis Paul

Offline reinforcement learning aims to learn from pre-collected datasets without active exploration. This problem faces significant challenges, including limited data availability and distributional shifts. Existing approaches adopt a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Yue Wang , Jinjun Xiong , Shaofeng Zou

We study generalization properties of random features (RF) regression in high dimensions optimized by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in under-/over-parameterized regime. In this work, we derive precise non-asymptotic error bounds of RF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Fanghui Liu , Johan A. K. Suykens , Volkan Cevher

In this paper, we investigate mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection problems with jumps in a regime-switching financial model. The novelty of our approach lies in allowing not only the market parameters -- such as the interest rate,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-29 Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

In this paper, we consider a frequency-based portfolio optimization problem with $m \geq 2$ assets when the expected logarithmic growth (ELG) rate of wealth is used as the performance metric. With the aid of the notion called dominant…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-22 Chung-Han Hsieh

We study subsampling-based ridge ensembles in the proportional asymptotics regime, where the feature size grows proportionally with the sample size such that their ratio converges to a constant. By analyzing the squared prediction risk of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Jin-Hong Du , Pratik Patil , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

The popularity of modern portfolio theory has decreased among practitioners because of its unfavorable out-of-sample performance. Estimation errors tend to affect the optimal weight calculation noticeably, especially when a large number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-28 Sven Husmann , Antoniya Shivarova , Rick Steinert

We discuss the use of saddlepoint methods in the analysis of portfolios, with particular reference to credit portfolios. The objective is to proceed from a model of the loss distribution, given through probabilities, correlations and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-04 Richard J Martin

Sample inefficiency is a long-lasting problem in reinforcement learning (RL). The state-of-the-art estimates the optimal action values while it usually involves an extensive search over the state-action space and unstable optimization.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Kaixiang Lin , Jiayu Zhou

When dealing with difficult inverse problems such as inverse rendering, using Monte Carlo estimated gradients to optimise parameters can slow down convergence due to variance. Averaging many gradient samples in each iteration reduces this…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Martin Balint , Karol Myszkowski , Hans-Peter Seidel , Gurprit Singh

This work studies finite-sample properties of the risk of the minimum-norm interpolating predictor in high-dimensional regression models. If the effective rank of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of the $p$ regression features is much larger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-23 Florentina Bunea , Seth Strimas-Mackey , Marten Wegkamp

The risk of financial positions is measured by the minimum amount of capital to raise and invest in eligible portfolios of traded assets in order to meet a prescribed acceptability constraint. We investigate nondegeneracy, finiteness and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Walter Farkas , Pablo Koch-Medina , Cosimo Munari

We present an online approach to portfolio selection. The motivation is within the context of algorithmic trading, which demands fast and recursive updates of portfolio allocations, as new data arrives. In particular, we look at two online…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-20 Theodoros Tsagaris , Ajay Jasra , Niall Adams

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun

The deviation of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for the practical economic system allows us gain the arbitrary or risk premium in finance markets. We propose the triplet $(R,H,\sigma)$ theory to give the local and global optimal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-05 Yifan Liu , Shi-Dong Liang

Invariant risk minimization (IRM) aims to enable out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization in deep learning by learning invariant representations. As IRM poses an inherently challenging bi-level optimization problem, most existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Kotaro Yoshida , Konstantinos Slavakis