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We derive the strong consistency of the least squares estimator for the drift coefficient of a fractional stochastic differential system. The drift coeffcient is one-sided dissipative Lipschitz and the driving noise is additive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

We consider stochastic control with discretionary stopping for the drift of a diffusion process over an infinite time horizon. The objective is to choose a control process and a stopping time to minimize the expectation of a convex terminal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Václav E. Beneš , Georgy Gaitsgori , Ioannis Karatzas

We study the strong approximation of stochastic differential equations with discontinuous drift coefficients and (possibly) degenerate diffusion coefficients. To account for the discontinuity of the drift coefficient we construct an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Andreas Neuenkirch , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Lukasz Szpruch

We study one-dimensional stochastic differential equations of form $dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dY_t$, where $Y$ is a suitable H\"older continuous driver such as the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with $H>\frac12$. The innovative aspect of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Cagatay Yildiz , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Intosalmi , Henrik Mannerström , Harri Lähdesmäki

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

A general framework for recovering drift and diffusion dynamics from sampled trajectories is presented for the first time for stochastic delay differential equations. The core relies on the well-established SINDy algorithm for the sparse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Dimitri Breda , Dajana Conte , Raffaele D'Ambrosio , Ida Santaniello , Muhammad Tanveer

This paper aims at developing a systematic study for the weak rate of convergence of the Euler-Maruyama scheme for stochastic differential equations with very irregular drift and constant diffusion coefficients. We apply our method to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Hoang-Long Ngo , Dai Taguchi

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

Road user trajectory prediction in dynamic environments is a challenging but crucial task for various applications, such as autonomous driving. One of the main challenges in this domain is the multimodal nature of future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Younwoo Choi , Ray Coden Mercurius , Soheil Mohamad Alizadeh Shabestary , Amir Rasouli

Of stochastic differential equations, diffusion processes have been adopted in numerous applications, as more relevant and flexible models. This paper studies diffusion processes in a different setting, where for a given stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Saber Jafarizadeh

The problem of eliminating fast-relaxing variables to obtain an effective drift-diffusion process in position is solved in a uniform and straightforward way for models with velocity a function jointly of position and fast variables. A more…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-13 Paul E. Lammert

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

In this paper we study the diffusion approximation of a swarming model given by a system of interacting Langevin equations with nonlinear friction. The diffusion approximation requires the calculation of the drift and diffusion coefficients…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-08 V. Bonnaillie-Noël , J. A. Carrillo , T. Goudon , G. A. Pavliotis

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

We study the maximum likehood estimator and least squares estimator for drift parameters of nonlinear reflected stochastic differential equations based on continuous observations. Under some regular conditions, we obtain the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

We discuss the effective diffusion constant $D_{{\it eff}}$ for stochastic processes with spatially-dependent noise. Starting from a stochastic process given by a Langevin equation, different drift-diffusion equations can be derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-16 Stefano Giordano , Ralf Blossey

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock