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In this paper, high-order moment, even exponential moment, estimates are established for the H\"older norm of solutions to stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion whose drifts are measurable and have linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Xi-Liang Fan , Shao-Qin Zhang

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ral'chenko , Oleg Seleznev , Georgiy Shevchenko

The problem of drift estimation for the solution $X$ of a stochastic differential equation with L\'evy-type jumps is considered under discrete high-frequency observations with a growing observation window. An efficient and asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Arnaud Gloter , Dasha Loukianova , Hilmar Mai

We propose a novel method for drift estimation of multiscale diffusion processes when a sequence of discrete observations is given. For the Langevin dynamics in a two-scale potential, our approach relies on the eigenvalues and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Assyr Abdulle , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

A set of pointwise estimates are established for local solutions to nonlocal diffusion equations with a drift term. In particular, our Harnack estimates are the first ones for such equations, and our H\"older regularity refines certain…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Naian Liao

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

In this work, we consider a one-dimensional It{\^o} diffusion process X t with possibly nonlinear drift and diffusion coefficients. We show that, when the diffusion coefficient is known, the drift coefficient is uniquely determined by an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Michel Cristofol , Lionel Roques

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

The global estimation problem of the drift function is considered for a large class of ergodic diffusion processes. The unknown drift $S(\cdot)$ is supposed to belong to a nonparametric class of smooth functions of order $k\geq1$, but the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arnak Dalalyan

In this paper we study the properties of the Lasso estimator of the drift component in the diffusion setting. More specifically, we consider a multivariate parametric diffusion model $X$ observed continuously over the interval $[0,T]$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Gabriela Ciolek , Dmytro Marushkevych , Mark Podolskij

We present a method for the nonparametric estimation of the drift function of certain types of stochastic differential equations from the empirical density. It is based on a variational formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We take into consideration generalization bounds for the problem of the estimation of the drift component for ergodic stochastic differential equations, when the estimator is a ReLU neural network and the estimation is non-parametric with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Simone Di Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

The Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) algorithm can be applied to stochastic differential equations to estimate the drift and the diffusion function using data from a realization of the SDE. The SINDy algorithm requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Mathias Wanner , Igor Mezić

Estimating parameters of drift and diffusion coefficients for multidimensional stochastic delay equations with small noise are considered. The delay structure is written as an integral form with respect to a delay measure. Our contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Hiroki Nemoto , Yasutaka Shimizu

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez