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This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

Time-series forecasts are essential for planning and decision-making in many domains. Explainability is key to building user trust and meeting transparency requirements. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is a popular explainable AI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Matthias Hertel , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schäfer

Shapley values are widely recognized as a principled method for attributing importance to input features in machine learning. However, the exact computation of Shapley values scales exponentially with the number of features, severely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Majid Mohammadi , Krikamol Muandet , Ilaria Tiddi , Annette Ten Teije , Siu Lun Chau

Functional data is a powerful tool for capturing and analyzing complex patterns and relationships in a variety of fields, allowing for more precise modeling, visualization, and decision-making. For example, in healthcare, functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Xiyuan Gao , Jiayi Wang , Guanyu Hu , Jianguo Sun

Traditional survival models often rely on restrictive assumptions such as proportional hazards or instantaneous effects of time-varying covariates on the hazard function, which limit their applicability in real-world settings. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Bingqing Hu , Bin Nan

Machine and deep learning have grown in popularity and use in biological research over the last decade but still present challenges in interpretability of the fitted model. The development and use of metrics to determine features driving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-31 Daniel Claborne , Javier Flores , Samantha Erwin , Luke Durell , Rachel Richardson , Ruby Fore , Lisa Bramer

Unsupervised multi-object scene decomposition is a fast-emerging problem in representation learning. Despite significant progress in static scenes, such models are unable to leverage important dynamic cues present in video. We propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Polina Zablotskaia , Edoardo A. Dominici , Leonid Sigal , Andreas M. Lehrmann

The standard approach to modeling the human brain as a complex system is with a network, where the basic unit of interaction is a pairwise link between two brain regions. While powerful, this approach is limited by the inability to assess…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-16 Thomas F Varley , Maria Pope , Maria Grazia Puxeddu , Joshua Faskowitz , Olaf Sporns

Time series analysis faces significant challenges in handling variable-length data and achieving robust generalization. While Transformer-based models have advanced time series tasks, they often struggle with feature redundancy and limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Kai Zhang , Siming Sun , Zhengyu Fan , Qinmin Yang , Xuejun Jiang

Real-world tabular databases routinely combine continuous measurements and categorical records, yet missing entries are pervasive and can distort downstream analysis. We propose Statistical-Neural Interaction (SNI), an interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Ou Deng , Shoji Nishimura , Atsushi Ogihara , Qun Jin

In observational studies, the observed association between an exposure and outcome of interest may be distorted by unobserved confounding. Causal sensitivity analysis can be used to assess the robustness of observed associations to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Rui Hu , Ted Westling

Survival analysis studies time-modeling techniques for an event of interest occurring for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences. However, the data needed to train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Alberto Archetti , Eugenio Lomurno , Francesco Lattari , André Martin , Matteo Matteucci

Shapley values are a standard tool for explaining predictions of tree ensembles, with Path-Dependent SHAP being the most widely used variant. Despite substantial progress, existing methods still exhibit trade-offs between depth-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ron Wettenstein , Rory Mitchell , Peng Yu

We propose a versatile framework for survival analysis that combines advanced concepts from statistics with deep learning. The presented framework is based on piecewise exponential models and thereby supports various survival tasks, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Philipp Kopper , Sebastian Pölsterl , Christian Wachinger , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender , David Rügamer

Inference about treatment effects for time-to-event outcomes is often obscured by the presence of competing events. A particularly complex situation arises when the treatment influences the occurrence of the competing event. A comprehensive…

We propose a general formulation for continuous treatment recommendation problems in settings with clinical survival data, which we call the Deep Survival Dose Response Function (DeepSDRF). That is, we consider the problem of learning the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-27 Jie Zhu , Blanca Gallego

We consider two bivariate models with two-way interactions in context of risk and queueing theory. The two entities interact with each other by providing assistance but otherwise evolve independently. We focus on certain random quantities…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Efficient modelling of feature interactions underpins supervised learning for non-sequential tasks, characterized by a lack of inherent ordering of features (variables). The brute force approach of learning a parameter for each interaction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Alexandros Haliassos , Kriton Konstantinidis , Danilo P. Mandic

Compositional inference - the decomposition of observations into an unknown number of latent components - is central to perception and scientific data analysis. Attention-based models perform well when components are approximately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Niklas Houba

Survival analysis is a fundamental tool in medicine, modeling the time until an event of interest occurs in a population. However, in real-world applications, survival data are often incomplete, censored, distributed, and confidential,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-07 Alberto Archetti , Francesca Ieva , Matteo Matteucci