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High-dimensional functional time series offers a powerful framework for extending functional time series analysis to settings with multiple simultaneous dimensions, capturing both temporal dynamics and cross-sectional dependencies. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Haixu Wang , Tianyu Guan , Han Lin Shang

Survival analysis is an important research topic with applications in healthcare, business, and manufacturing. One essential tool in this area is the Cox proportional hazards (CPH) model, which is widely used for its interpretability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Jiachang Liu , Rui Zhang , Cynthia Rudin

Shapley values has established itself as one of the most appropriate and theoretically sound frameworks for explaining predictions from complex machine learning models. The popularity of Shapley values in the explanation setting is probably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-24 Martin Jullum , Annabelle Redelmeier , Kjersti Aas

There is increasing interest in flexible parametric models for the analysis of time-to-event data, yet Bayesian approaches that offer incorporation of prior knowledge remain underused. A flexible Bayesian parametric model has recently been…

The complex nature of artificial neural networks raises concerns on their reliability, trustworthiness, and fairness in real-world scenarios. The Shapley value -- a solution concept from game theory -- is one of the most popular explanation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Jacopo Teneggi , Beepul Bharti , Yaniv Romano , Jeremias Sulam

With the spread and rapid advancement of black box machine learning models, the field of interpretable machine learning (IML) or explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) has become increasingly important over the last decade. This is…

SHAP is a popular method for measuring variable importance in machine learning models. In this paper, we study the algorithm used to estimate SHAP scores and outline its connection to the functional ANOVA decomposition. We use this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Andrew Herren , P. Richard Hahn

A major challenge in causal discovery from observational data is the absence of perfect interventions, making it difficult to distinguish causal features from spurious ones. We propose an innovative approach, Feature Matching Intervention…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-06 Haoze Li , Jun Xie

Continual learning for video--language understanding is increasingly important as models face non-stationary data, domains, and query styles, yet prevailing solutions blur what should stay stable versus what should adapt, rely on static…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mengzhu Xu , Hanzhi Liu , Ningkang Peng , Qianyu Chen , Canran Xiao

While there are many well-developed data science methods for classification and regression, there are relatively few methods for working with right-censored data. Here, we present "survival stacking": a method for casting survival analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Erin Craig , Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani

This paper introduces the Orthogonal Polynomials Quadrature Algorithm for Survival Analysis (OPSurv), a new method providing time-continuous functional outputs for both single and competing risks scenarios in survival analysis. OPSurv…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Lilian W. Bialokozowicz , Hoang M. Le , Tristan Sylvain , Peter A. I. Forsyth , Vineel Nagisetty , Greg Mori

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Side information fusion for sequential recommendation (SR) aims to effectively leverage various side information to enhance the performance of next-item prediction. Most state-of-the-art methods build on self-attention networks and focus on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Yueqi Xie , Peilin Zhou , Sunghun Kim

Signal decomposition and multiscale signal analysis provide many useful tools for time-frequency analysis. We proposed a random feature method for analyzing time-series data by constructing a sparse approximation to the spectrogram. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-17 Nicholas Richardson , Hayden Schaeffer , Giang Tran

Bias - variance decomposition of the expected error defined for regression and classification problems is an important tool to study and compare different algorithms, to find the best areas for their application. Here the decomposition is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-09-27 Marina Sapir

Since the early 1900s, numerous research efforts have been devoted to developing quantitative solutions to stochastic mechanical systems. In general, the problem is perceived as solved when a complete or partial probabilistic description on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Ziqi Wang , Marco Broccardo , Junho Song

Recently, several fast algorithms have been proposed to decompose predicted value into Shapley values, enabling individualized feature contribution analysis in tree models. While such local decomposition offers valuable insights, it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-28 Zhongli Jiang , Min Zhang , Dabao Zhang

It is widely believed that complex machine learning models generally encode features through linear representations. This is the foundational hypothesis behind a vast body of work on interpretability. A key challenge toward extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Allen Liu

Recently developed survival analysis methods improve upon existing approaches by predicting the probability of event occurrence in each of a number pre-specified (discrete) time intervals. By avoiding placing strong parametric assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Jimmy Hickey , Ricardo Henao , Daniel Wojdyla , Michael Pencina , Matthew M. Engelhard

SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) has become a popular method to attribute the prediction of a machine learning model on an input to its features. One main challenge of SHAP is the computation time. An exact computation of Shapley values…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-06 Linwei Hu , Ke Wang
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