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Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

We propose a variant of the Shapley value, the group Shapley value, to interpret counterfactual simulations in structural economic models by quantifying the importance of different components. Our framework compares two sets of parameters,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-10 Yongchan Kwon , Sokbae Lee , Guillaume A. Pouliot

To improve the prediction of cancer survival using whole-slide images and transcriptomics data, it is crucial to capture both modality-shared and modality-specific information. However, multimodal frameworks often entangle these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Aniek Eijpe , Soufyan Lakbir , Melis Erdal Cesur , Sara P. Oliveira , Sanne Abeln , Wilson Silva

This paper discusses the foundation of methods for accurately grasping interaction effects. The partial dependence (PD) and accumulated local effects (ALE) methods, which capture interaction effects as terms, are known as global…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Hirokazu Iwasawa , Yoshihiro Matsumori

Deep learning survival models often outperform classical methods in time-to-event predictions, particularly in personalized medicine, but their "black box" nature hinders broader adoption. We propose a framework for gradient-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Sophie Hanna Langbein , Niklas Koenen , Marvin N. Wright

With the adoption of machine learning into routine clinical practice comes the need for Explainable AI methods tailored to medical applications. Shapley values have sparked wide interest for locally explaining models. Here, we demonstrate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Lucile Ter-Minassian , Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Chris Holmes

Accurate and interpretable survival analysis remains a core challenge in oncology. With growing multimodal data and the clinical need for transparent models to support validation and trust, this challenge increases in complexity. We propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mafalda Malafaia , Peter A. N. Bosman , Coen Rasch , Tanja Alderliesten

Inference of causality in time series has been principally based on the prediction paradigm. Nonetheless, the predictive causality approach may overlook the simultaneous and reciprocal nature of causal interactions observed in real world…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Albert C. Yang , Norden E. Huang , Chung-Kang Peng

We offer a new formalism for global explanations of pairwise feature dependencies and interactions in supervised models. Building upon SHAP values and SHAP interaction values, our approach decomposes feature contributions into synergistic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Jan Ittner , Lukasz Bolikowski , Konstantin Hemker , Ricardo Kennedy

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

Global feature effect methods, such as partial dependence plots, provide an intelligible visualization of the expected marginal feature effect. However, such global feature effect methods can be misleading, as they do not represent local…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Julia Herbinger , Marvin N. Wright , Thomas Nagler , Bernd Bischl , Giuseppe Casalicchio

Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Survival analysis provides a well-established framework for modeling time-to-event data, with hazard and survival functions formally defined as population-level quantities. In applied work, however, these quantities are often interpreted as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Xijia Liu

Shapley values have become one of the go-to methods to explain complex models to end-users. They provide a model agnostic post-hoc explanation with foundations in game theory: what is the worth of a player (in machine learning, a feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Joran Michiels , Maarten De Vos , Johan Suykens

Survival analysis is a subfield of statistics concerned with modeling the occurrence time of a particular event of interest for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Alberto Archetti , Matteo Matteucci

Understanding and predicting the duration or "return-to-normal" time of traffic incidents is important for system-level management and optimisation of road transportation networks. Increasing real-time availability of multiple data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-18 Kieran Kalair , Colm Connaughton

This paper introduces a Random Survival Forest (RSF) method for functional data. The focus is specifically on defining a new functional data structure, the Censored Functional Data (CFD), for dealing with temporal observations that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Elvira Romano , Giuseppe Loffredo , Fabrizio Maturo

Survival analysis (SA) is an active field of research that is concerned with time-to-event outcomes and is prevalent in many domains, particularly biomedical applications. Despite its importance, SA remains challenging due to small-scale…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-16 Philipp Kopper , Simon Wiegrebe , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender , David Rügamer

Many existing interpretation methods are based on Partial Dependence (PD) functions that, for a pre-trained machine learning model, capture how a subset of the features affects the predictions by averaging over the remaining features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jinyang Liu , Tessa Steensgaard , Marvin N. Wright , Niklas Pfister , Munir Hiabu

When using machine learning techniques in decision-making processes, the interpretability of the models is important. Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) is one of the most promising interpretation methods for machine learning models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Yasunobu Nohara , Toyoshi Inoguchi , Chinatsu Nojiri , Naoki Nakashima