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This paper studies a sequential decision problem where payoff distributions are known and where the riskiness of payoffs matters. Equivalently, it studies sequential choice from a repeated set of independent lotteries. The decision-maker is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-02 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein , Guodong Zhang

We consider a non-stationary variant of a sequential stochastic optimization problem, in which the underlying cost functions may change along the horizon. We propose a measure, termed variation budget, that controls the extent of said…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 O. Besbes , Y. Gur , A. Zeevi

We develop an approach for solving time-consistent risk-sensitive stochastic optimization problems using model-free reinforcement learning (RL). Specifically, we assume agents assess the risk of a sequence of random variables using dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Anthony Coache , Sebastian Jaimungal

In most real scenarios the construction of a risk-neutral portfolio must be performed in discrete time and with transaction costs. Two human imposed constraints are the risk-aversion and the profit maximization, which together define a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-21 G. Mazzei , F. G. Bellora , J. A. Serur

We study the dynamic investment decisions of investors who prioritise specific quantiles of outcomes over their expected values. Downside-focused agents targeting low quantiles reduce risk in states with high variance, while those with a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Janasek , Attila Sarkany

We consider a liquidation problem in which a risk-averse trader tries to liquidate a fixed quantity of an asset in the presence of market impact and random price fluctuations. The trader encounters a trade-off between the transaction costs…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Seungki Min , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Costis Maglaras

We consider the dynamic inventory problem with non-stationary demands. It has long been known that non-stationary (s, S) policies are optimal for this problem. However, finding optimal policy parameters remains a computational challenge as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Onur A. Kilic , S. Armagan Tarim

Conditional risk minimization arises in high-stakes decisions where risk must be assessed in light of side information, such as stressed economic conditions, specific customer profiles, or other contextual covariates. Constructing reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Xinqiao Xie , Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

Two major financial market complexities are transaction costs and uncertain volatility, and we analyze their joint impact on the problem of portfolio optimization. When volatility is constant, the transaction costs optimal investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-28 Maxim Bichuch , Ronnie Sircar

The main challenge for adaptive regulation of linear-quadratic systems is the trade-off between identification and control. An adaptive policy needs to address both the estimation of unknown dynamics parameters (exploration), as well as the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-01 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Practical online learning tasks are often naturally defined on unconstrained domains, where optimal algorithms for general convex losses are characterized by the notion of comparator adaptivity. In this paper, we design such algorithms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Zhiyu Zhang , Ashok Cutkosky , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

In reinforcement learning, classic on-policy evaluation methods often suffer from high variance and require massive online data to attain the desired accuracy. Previous studies attempt to reduce evaluation variance by searching for or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Claire Chen , Shuze Daniel Liu , Shangtong Zhang

In many operational settings, decision-makers must commit to actions before uncertainty resolves, but existing optimization tools rarely quantify how consistently a chosen decision remains optimal across plausible scenarios. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-18 Wenbin Zhou , Agni Orfanoudaki , Shixiang Zhu

We introduce a price impact model which accounts for finite market depth, tightness and resilience. Its coupled bid- and ask-price dynamics induce convex liquidity costs. We provide existence of an optimal solution to the classical problem…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-23 Peter Bank , Moritz Voß

Robotic systems must be able to quickly and robustly make decisions when operating in uncertain and dynamic environments. While Reinforcement Learning (RL) can be used to compute optimal policies with little prior knowledge about the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Yunpeng Pan , Xinyan Yan , Evangelos Theodorou , Byron Boots

In this paper, we study a retailer price optimization problem which includes the practical constraints: maximum number of price changes and minimum amount of price change (if a change is recommended). We provide a closed-form formula for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Xiaojie Wang , Hsin-Chan Huang , Lanshan Han , Alvin Lim

In this paper, we employ the Heston stochastic volatility model to describe the stock's volatility and apply the model to derive and analyze the optimal trading strategies for dealers in a security market. We also extend our study to option…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-02 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu , Qing-Qing Yang

Time-consistency is an essential requirement in risk sensitive optimal control problems to make rational decisions. An optimization problem is time consistent if its solution policy does not depend on the time sequence of solving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-26 Yinlam Chow , Marco Pavone

We consider a stochastic model of investment on an asset of a stock market for a prudent investor. She decides to buy permanent goods with a fraction $\a$ of the maximum amount of money owned in her life in order that her economic level…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-09-25 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , M. Serva , A. Vulpiani

One of the most celebrated results in mechanism design is Myerson's characterization of the revenue optimal auction for selling a single item. However, this result relies heavily on the assumption that buyers are indifferent to risk. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-08 Evdokia Nikolova , Emmanouil Pountourakis , Ger Yang