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In a constantly changing world, animals must account for environmental volatility when making decisions. To appropriately discount older, irrelevant information, they need to learn the rate at which the environment changes. We develop an…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-12 Adrian E Radillo , Alan Veliz-Cuba , Kresimir Josic , Zachary P Kilpatrick

Building on insights of Jovanovic (1982) and subsequent authors, we develop a comprehensive theory of optimal timing of decisions based around continuation value functions and operators that act on them. Optimality results are provided…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-30 Qingyin Ma , John Stachurski

This paper studies a continuous-time optimal portfolio selection problem in the complete market for a behavioral investor whose preference is of the prospect type with probability distortion. The investor concerns about the terminal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-11 Jing Peng , Pengyu Wei , Zuo Quan Xu

An investor with constant relative risk aversion trades a safe and several risky assets with constant investment opportunities. For a small fixed transaction cost, levied on each trade regardless of its size, we explicitly determine the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-23 Albert Altarovici , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , H. Mete Soner

We derive asymptotically optimal statistical decision rules for discrete choice problems when payoffs depend on a partially-identified parameter $\theta$ and the decision maker can use a point-identified parameter $\mu$ to deduce…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-19 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

Given the marginal distribution information of the underlying asset price at two future times $T_1$ and $T_2$, we consider the problem of determining a model-free upper bound on the price of a class of American options that must be…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Tongseok Lim

We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

We consider dynamic pricing with many products under an evolving but low-dimensional demand model. Assuming the temporal variation in cross-elasticities exhibits low-rank structure based on fixed (latent) features of the products, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Jonas Mueller , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Matt Taddy

Learning interpretable models has become a major focus of machine learning research, given the increasing prominence of machine learning in socially important decision-making. Among interpretable models, rule lists are among the best-known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Leonardo Pellegrina , Fabio Vandin

We study the framework of a dynamic decision-making scenario with resource constraints. In this framework, an agent, whose target is to maximize the total reward under the initial inventory, selects an action in each round upon observing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Zhaohua Chen , Rui Ai , Mingwei Yang , Yuqi Pan , Chang Wang , Xiaotie Deng

This paper considers an opportunistic scheduling problem over a renewal system. A controller observes a random event at the beginning of each renewal frame and then chooses an action in response to the event, which affects the duration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

This tutorial describes recently developed general optimality conditions for Markov Decision Processes that have significant applications to inventory control. In particular, these conditions imply the validity of optimality equations and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-06 Eugene A. Feinberg

We study optimal investment problem for a diffusion market consisting of a finite number of risky assets (for example, bonds, stocks and options). Risky assets evolution is described by Ito's equation, and the number of risky assets can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Nikolai Dokuchaev

The stable combination of optimal feedback policies with online learning is studied in a new control-theoretic framework for uncertain nonlinear systems. The framework can be systematically used in transfer learning and sim-to-real…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

In this paper, we propose a predictor-corrector type Consensus Based Optimization (CBO) algorithm on a convex feasible set. Our proposed algorithm generalizes the CBO algorithm in [11] to tackle a constrained optimization problem for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Hyeong-Ohk Bae , Seung-Yeal Ha , Myeongju Kang , Hyuncheul Lim , Chanho Min , Jane Yoo

This paper studies the problem of optimal investment with CRRA (constant, relative risk aversion) preferences, subject to dynamic risk constraints on trading strategies. The market model considered is continuous in time and incomplete. the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-19 Santiago Moreno-Bromberg , Traian Pirvu , Anthony Réveillac

Reinforcement learning has been explored for many problems, from video games with deterministic environments to portfolio and operations management in which scenarios are stochastic; however, there have been few attempts to test these…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-19 Sherly Alfonso-Sánchez , Jesús Solano , Alejandro Correa-Bahnsen , Kristina P. Sendova , Cristián Bravo

We study the selection of covariate adjustment sets for estimating the value of point exposure dynamic policies, also known as dynamic treatment regimes, assuming a non-parametric causal graphical model with hidden variables, in which at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Ezequiel Smucler , Facundo Sapienza , Andrea Rotnitzky

This research considers the ranking and selection with input uncertainty. The objective is to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting the best alternative under a fixed simulation budget, where each alternative is measured…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Hui Xiao , Zhihong Wei

We investigate the general structure of optimal investment and consumption with small proportional transaction costs. For a safe asset and a risky asset with general continuous dynamics, traded with random and time-varying but small…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Jan Kallsen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe