English
Related papers

Related papers: An Adaptive Horizon-Aware Model Selection Framewor…

200 papers

Weather forecasting plays a vital role in numerous sectors, but accurately capturing the complex dynamics of weather systems remains a challenge for traditional statistical models. Apart from Auto Regressive time forecasting models like…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Anuvab Sen , Arul Rhik Mazumder , Dibyarup Dutta , Udayon Sen , Pathikrit Syam , Sandipan Dhar

In this paper, we propose a sample-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) scheme for general nonlinear systems to estimate the current system state using irregularly and/or infrequently available measurements. The cost function of the MHE…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Isabelle Krauss , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Accurate load forecasting plays a vital role in numerous sectors, but accurately capturing the complex dynamics of dynamic power systems remains a challenge for traditional statistical models. For these reasons, time-series models (ARIMA)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Anuvab Sen , Arul Rhik Mazumder , Udayon Sen

When planning the investment in Microgrids (MGs), usually static security constraints are included to ensure their resilience and ability to operate in islanded mode. However, unscheduled islanding events may trigger cascading…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Agnes Marjorie Nakiganda , Shahab Dehghan , Uros Markovic , Gabriela Hug , Petros Aristidou

Multivariate time series forecasting is essential in domains such as finance, transportation, climate, and energy. However, existing patch-based methods typically adopt fixed-length segmentation, overlooking the heterogeneity of local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Chunyi Hou , Zheya Wang , Lei Wang , Zhengxin Yang , Jianfeng Zhan

Health indicator (HI) plays a key role in degradation assessment and prognostics of rolling bearings. Although various HI construction methods have been investigated, most of them rely on expert knowledge for feature extraction and overlook…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Tongda Sun , Chen Yin , Huailiang Zheng , Yining Dong

This work presents three computational methods for real time energy management in a hybrid hydraulic vehicle (HHV) when driver behavior and vehicle route are not known in advance. These methods, implemented in a receding horizon control…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Kyle Williams

It is a common practice to exploit pyramidal feature representation to tackle the problem of scale variation in object instances. However, most of them still predict the objects in a certain range of scales based solely or mainly on a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Zehui Gong , Dong Li

Currently, many verification algorithms are available to improve the reliability of software systems. Selecting the appropriate verification algorithm typically demands domain expertise and non-trivial manpower. An automated algorithm…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Jie Su , Liansai Deng , Cheng Wen , Rong Wang , Zhi Ma , Nan Zhang , Cong Tian , Zhenhua Duan , Shengchao Qin

Multi-step forecasting (MSF) in time-series, the ability to make predictions multiple time steps into the future, is fundamental to almost all temporal domains. To make such forecasts, one must assume the recursive complexity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Riku Green , Grant Stevens , Telmo de Menezes e Silva Filho , Zahraa Abdallah

We propose a new kernel for Metropolis Hastings called Directional Metropolis Hastings (DMH) with multivariate update where the proposal kernel has state dependent covariance matrix. We use the derivative of the target distribution at the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-27 Abhirup Mallik , Galin L. Jones

Ads demand forecasting for Walmart's ad products plays a critical role in enabling effective resource planning, allocation, and management of ads performance. In this paper, we introduce a comprehensive demand forecasting system that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Zhengchao Yang , Mithun Ghosh , Anish Saha , Dong Xu , Konstantin Shmakov , Kuang-chih Lee

We study adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems defined by conditional moment restrictions. Existing regularized estimators such as Regularized DeepIV (RDIV) require prior knowledge of the smoothness of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Jiyuan Tan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

The magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) equations are continuum models used in the study of a wide range of plasma physics systems, including the evolution of complex plasma dynamics in tokamak disruptions. However, efficient numerical solution…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-02-09 Qi Tang , Luis Chacon , Tzanio V. Kolev , John N. Shadid , Xian-Zhu Tang

Passenger assistance services are essential for accessible rail travel, yet demand varies substantially across stations and over time, creating challenges for workforce planning and staff rostering. This paper presents a data-driven…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-21 Michael Sheehan , Irina Timoshenko

Safe and efficient assistive planning for visually impaired scenarios remains challenging, since existing methods struggle with multi-objective optimization, generalization, and interpretability. In response, this paper proposes a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Yuting Zeng , Zhiwen Zheng , Jingya Wang , You Zhou , JiaLing Xiao , Yongbin Yu , Manping Fan , Bo Gong , Liyong Ren

Adaptive Horizon Model Predictive Control (AHMPC) is a scheme for varying as needed the horizon length of Model Predictive Control (MPC). Its goal is to achieve stabilization with horizons as small as possible so that MPC can be used on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Arthur J. Krener

Intermittent demand, a pattern characterized by long sequences of zero sales punctuated by sporadic, non-zero values, poses a persistent challenge in retail and supply chain forecasting. Both traditional methods, such as ARIMA, exponential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Fabian Muşat , Simona Căbuz

In multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting, many deep learning based methods have been proposed for modeling dependencies at multiple spatial (inter-variate) or temporal (intra-variate) scales. However, existing methods may fail to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Binqing Wu , Jianlong Huang , Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić