Related papers: An Adaptive Horizon-Aware Model Selection Framewor…
Demand forecasting in competitive, uncertain business environments requires models that can integrate multiple evaluation perspectives rather than being restricted to hyperparameter optimization based on a single metric. This traditional…
Real-world three-phase microgrids face two interconnected challenges: 1. time-varying uncertainty from renewable generation and demand, and 2. persistent phase imbalances caused by uneven distributed energy resources DERs, load asymmetries,…
To control a dynamical system it is essential to obtain an accurate estimate of the current system state based on uncertain sensor measurements and existing system knowledge. An optimization-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) approach…
Supply chain resilience and efficiency are vital in industries characterized by volatile demand and uncertain supply, such as textiles and personal protective equipment (PPE). Traditional forecasting and optimization approaches often…
Accurate and adaptive dynamic models are critical for underwater vehicle-manipulator systems where hydrodynamic effects induce time-varying parameters. This paper introduces a novel uncertainty-aware adaptive dynamics model framework that…
We introduce MoTIF, a mode-structured tensor framework for multi-parametric approximation, super-resolution, and temporal forecasting of high-dimensional unsteady systems. The methodology leverages High-Order Singular Value Decomposition…
Selecting an appropriate look-back horizon remains a fundamental challenge in time series forecasting (TSF), particularly in the federated learning scenarios where data is decentralized, heterogeneous, and often non-independent. While…
The long horizon forecasting (LHF) problem has come up in the time series literature for over the last 35 years or so. This review covers aspects of LHF in this period and how deep learning has incorporated variants of trend, seasonality,…
Moving horizon estimation (MHE) is a widely studied state estimation approach in several practical applications. In the MHE problem, the state estimates are obtained via the solution of an approximated nonlinear optimization problem.…
Long horizon lengths in Moving Horizon Estimation are desirable to reach the performance limits of the full information estimator. However, the conventional MHE technique suffers from a number of deficiencies in this respect. First, the…
Multimodal Review Helpfulness Prediction (MRHP) aims to rank product reviews based on predicted helpfulness scores and has been widely applied in e-commerce via presenting customers with useful reviews. Previous studies commonly employ…
In many systems, the true data-generating process is unknown, requiring forecasters to rely on observed time series. This study proposes a pre-modeling diagnostic framework for horizon-specific forecastability assessment that evaluates…
The rapidly changing landscapes of modern optimization problems require algorithms that can be adapted in real-time. This paper introduces an Adaptive Metaheuristic Framework (AMF) designed for dynamic environments. It is capable of…
This note re-visits the rolling-horizon control approach to the problem of a Markov decision process (MDP) with infinite-horizon discounted expected reward criterion. Distinguished from the classical value-iteration approach, we develop an…
Optimisation-based algorithms known as Moving Horizon Estimator (MHE) have been developed through the years. This paper illustrates the implementation of the policy introduced in the companion paper submitted to the 18th IFAC Workshop on…
Parallel batch processing machines have extensive applications in the semiconductor manufacturing process. However, the problem models in previous studies regard parallel batch processing as a fixed processing stage in the machining…
This paper presents a data-driven receding horizon fault estimation method for additive actuator and sensor faults in unknown linear time-invariant systems, with enhanced robustness to stochastic identification errors. State-of-the-art…
Sequential decision problems in applications such as manipulation in warehouses, multi-step meal preparation, and routing in autonomous vehicle networks often involve reasoning about uncertainty, planning over discrete modes as well as…
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, such as the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, are widely used for Bayesian inference. One of the most important issues for any MCMC method is the convergence of the Markov chain, which depends…
Multi-horizon time-series forecasting involves simultaneously making predictions for a consecutive sequence of subsequent time steps. This task arises in many application domains, such as healthcare and finance, where mispredictions can…