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This paper introduces a novel approach for tracking the dynamic trajectories of integrated natural gas and power systems, leveraging a Kalman filter-based structure. To predict the states of the system, the Holt's exponential smoothing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Liang Chen , Yang Li , Jun Cai , Songlin Gu , Ying Yan

We consider a variant of the classical linear quadratic Gaussian regulator (LQG) in which penalties on the endpoint state are replaced by the specification of the terminal state distribution. The resulting theory considerably differs from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou , Michele Pavon

This paper is considered with joint estimation of state and time-varying noise covariance matrices in non-linear stochastic state space models. We present a variational Bayes and Gaussian filtering based algorithm for efficient computation…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Simo Särkkä Jouni Hartikainen

Due to the evolving nature of power grids and model uncertainty, the online stability assessment of electrical power systems is always a challenging problem. This paper aims to provide a theoretical framework for estimating the region of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Chao Zhai

The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Kazuyuki Nakamura

Choosing a nonlinear state estimator for an application often involves a trade-off between local optimality (such as provided by an extended Kalman filter) and (almost-/semi-) global asymptotic stability (such as provided by a constructive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-16 Pieter van Goor , Robert Mahony

The estimation of non-Gaussian measurement noise models is a significant challenge across various fields. In practical applications, it often faces challenges due to the large number of parameters and high computational complexity. This…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-25 Zuxuan Zhang , Gang Wang , Jiacheng He , Shan Zhong

We demonstrate optimal state estimation for a cavity optomechanical system through Kalman filtering. By taking into account nontrivial experimental noise sources, such as colored laser noise and spurious mechanical modes, we implement a…

Measurements of a scalar linear Gauss-Markov process are sent over a fading channel. The fading channel is modeled as independent and identically distributed random variables with known realization at the receiver. The optimal estimator at…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-20 Reza Parseh , Kimmo Kansanen

For a fixed average energy, the simultaneous estimation of multiple phases can provide a better total precision than estimating them individually. We show this for a multimode interferometer with a phase in each mode, using Gaussian inputs…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-03 Christos N. Gagatsos , Dominic Branford , Animesh Datta

Recursive Bayesian filters have been widely deployed in structural system identification where output-only filters are of higher practicality. Unfortunately, the estimation obtained by instantaneous system inversion via filters can be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-30 Zihao Liu , Mohsen Ebrahimzadeh Hassanabadi , Daniel Dias-da-Costa

A quantum stochastic model for an open dynamical system (quantum receiver) and output multi-channel of observation with an additive nonvacuum quantum noise is given. A quantum stochastic Master equation for the corresponding instrument is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 V. P. Belavkin

In this paper, we propose a data-driven energy storage system (ESS)-based method to enhance the online small-signal stability monitoring of power networks with high penetration of intermittent wind power. To accurately estimate inter-area…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-23 Ilias Zenelis , Georgia Pierrou , Xiaozhe Wang

This paper examines learning the optimal filtering policy, known as the Kalman gain, for a linear system with unknown noise covariance matrices using noisy output data. The learning problem is formulated as a stochastic policy optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-27 Shahriar Talebi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Mehran Mesbahi

We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

Many dynamical systems are subjected to stochastic influences, such as random excitations, noise, and unmodeled behavior. Tracking the system's state and parameters based on a physical model is a common task for which filtering algorithms,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Jan Grashorn , Matteo Broggi , Ludovic Chamoin , Michael Beer

We apply a recently developed stochastic method to the Shastry-Sutherland model on 4x4 and 8x8 lattices. This method, which we call the Stochastic State Selection Method here, enables us to evaluate expectation values of powers of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Tomo Munehisa , Yasuko Munehisa

High intermittent renewable penetration in the energy mix presents challenges in robustness for the management of power systems' operation. If a tail realization of the distribution of weather yields a prolonged period of time during which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Daniel Mastropietro , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev

This paper studies the problem of developing computationally efficient solutions for steering the distribution of the state of a stochastic, linear dynamical system between two boundary Gaussian distributions in the presence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-25 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras