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This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

Additive white noise may significantly increase the response of bistable systems to a periodic driving signal. We consider two classes of double-well potentials, symmetric and asymmetric, modulated periodically in time with period $1/\eps$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

We investigate nonlinear state-space models without a closed-form transition density, and propose reformulating such models over their latent noise variables rather than their latent state variables. In doing so the tractable noise density…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-11 Lawrence M. Murray , Emlyn M. Jones , John Parslow

We introduce a new method, allowing to describe slowly time-dependent Langevin equations through the behaviour of individual paths. This approach yields considerably more information than the computation of the probability density. The main…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

We introduce a classical estimator for the post-processing of quantum phase estimation data generated either by quantum-Fourier-transform-based or quantum-signal-processing-based methods. We focus on the estimation of a single target phase…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Alicja Dutkiewicz , Thomas E. O'Brien , Stefano Polla

Reliable state estimation is essential for autonomous systems operating in complex, noisy environments. Classical filtering approaches, such as the Kalman filter, can struggle when facing nonlinear dynamics or non-Gaussian noise, and even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Wonjin Song , Feng Bao

The stable operation of off-grid photovoltaic systems requires accurate, computationally efficient solar forecasting. Contemporary deep learning models often suffer from massive computational overhead and physical blindness, generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

We identify a unifying measure for stochastic resonance (SR) in voltage dependent ion channels which comprises periodic (conventional), aperiodic and nonstationary SR. Within a simplest setting, the gating dynamics is governed by two-state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Igor Goychuk , Peter Hanggi

The distribution system state estimation problem seeks to determine the network state from available measurements. Widely used Gauss-Newton approaches are very sensitive to the initialization and often not suitable for real-time estimation.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Ahmed S. Zamzam , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

Synchrophasor data provide unprecedented opportunities for inferring power system dynamics, such as estimating voltage angles, frequencies, and accelerations along with power injection at all buses. Aligned to this goal, this work puts…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-14 Mana Jalali , Vassilis Kekatos , Siddharth Bhela , Hao Zhu , Virgilio Centeno

The growing prevalence of extreme weather events driven by climate change poses significant challenges to power system resilience. Infrastructure damage and prolonged power outages highlight the urgent need for effective grid-hardening…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-30 Sifat Chowdhury , Yihsu Chen , Yu Zhang

Achieving resilient and sustainable cities requires scalable approaches to decarbonising residential buildings, which account for about 20% of UK greenhouse gas emissions and 25% of energy-related emissions in the European Union. Energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Yunfei Bai , Aaron Tesfa Tsion , Raul Rosales , Barbara Shollock , Wei He

State estimation of dynamical systems is crucial for providing new decision-making and system automation information in different applications. However, the assumptions on the standard computational models for sensor measurements can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-25 Aamir Hussain Chughtai , Arslan Majal , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal

Using state-space representation, mobile object positioning problems can be described as dynamic systems, with the state representing the unknown location and the observations being the information gathered from the location sensors. For…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-26 Leila Pishdad , Fabrice Labeau

The two-state model of stochastic resonance is extended to a chain of coupled two-state elements governed by the dynamics of Glauber's stochastic Ising model. Appropriate assumptions on the model parameters turn the chain into a prototype…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Udo Siewert , Lutz Schimansky-Geier

Stochastic vegetation-water dynamical systems play a pivotal role in ecological stability, biodiversity, water resource management, and adaptation to climate change. This research proposes a machine learning-based method for analyzing rare…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Gas-fired generators, with their ability to quickly ramp up and down their electricity production, play an important role in managing renewable energy variability. However, these changes in electricity production translate into variability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-24 Conor O' Malley , Gabriela Hug , Line Roald