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Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance in time series analysis and seems to understand the time temporal relationship well than traditional transformer-based approaches. However, since LLMs are not designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Liangwei Nathan Zheng , Chang George Dong , Wei Emma Zhang , Lin Yue , Miao Xu , Olaf Maennel , Weitong Chen

The present study explores the interpretability of latent spaces produced by time series foundation models, focusing on their potential for visual analysis tasks. Specifically, we evaluate the MOMENT family of models, a set of…

Time series forecasting often demands a trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. While recent Transformer models have improved forecasting capabilities, they come with high computational costs. Linear-based models have shown better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Ahmad Mohammadshirazi , Pinaki Prasad Guha Neogi , Rajiv Ramnath

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

With the recent development and advancement of Transformer and MLP architectures, significant strides have been made in time series analysis. Conversely, the performance of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) in time series analysis has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Chenghan Li , Mingchen Li , Ruisheng Diao

Time-series stationarity is a property that statistical characteristics such as trend, variance, seasonality remain constant over time. It is considered fundamental to many forecasting and analysis methods. Different tests detect different…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Bhanu Suraj Malla , Yuqing Hu

Time series synthesis is an effective approach to ensuring the secure circulation of time series data. Existing time series synthesis methods typically perform temporal modeling based on random sequences to generate target sequences, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Xuan Hou , Shuhan Liu , Zhaohui Peng , Yaohui Chu , Yue Zhang , Yining Wang

Time series forecasting holds significant importance in many real-world dynamic systems and has been extensively studied. Unlike natural language process (NLP) and computer vision (CV), where a single large model can tackle multiple tasks,…

There have been several recent efforts towards developing representations for multivariate time-series in an unsupervised learning framework. Such representations can prove beneficial in tasks such as activity recognition, health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-23 Yitian Zhang , Florence Regol , Antonios Valkanas , Mark Coates

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by recurrent neural networks (RNNs) based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine the internal dynamics of RNNs and establish a set of conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Boris Rubinstein

Although Transformer has made breakthrough success in widespread domains especially in Natural Language Processing (NLP), applying it to time series forecasting is still a great challenge. In time series forecasting, the autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Kai Chen , Guang Chen , Dan Xu , Lijun Zhang , Yuyao Huang , Alois Knoll

Counterfactual explanations are increasingly proposed as interpretable mechanisms to achieve algorithmic recourse. However, current counterfactual techniques for time series classification are predominantly designed with static data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Emmanuel C. Chukwu , Rianne M. Schouten , Monique Tabak , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Time series generation is a crucial research topic in the area of decision-making systems, which can be particularly important in domains like autonomous driving, healthcare, and, notably, robotics. Recent approaches focus on learning in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Jian Qian , Bingyu Xie , Biao Wan , Minhao Li , Miao Sun , Patrick Yin Chiang

Real-world non-autonomous systems are open, out-of-equilibrium systems that evolve in and are driven by temporally varying environments. Such systems can show multiple timescale and transient dynamics together with transitions to very…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-12 Klaus Lehnertz

The prediction of periodical time-series remains challenging due to various types of data distortions and misalignments. Here, we propose a novel model called Temporal embedding-enhanced convolutional neural Network (TeNet) to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jiajun Liu , Kun Zhao , Brano Kusy , Ji-rong Wen , Raja Jurdak

Large pre-trained time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated promising zero-shot performance across a wide range of domains. However, a question remains: Do TSFMs succeed by memorizing patterns in training data, or do they…

Non-stationarity is an intrinsic property of real-world time series and plays a crucial role in time series forecasting. Previous studies primarily adopt instance normalization to attenuate the non-stationarity of original series for better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Tianyu Jia , Zongxia Xie , Yanru Sun , Dilfira Kudrat , Qinghua Hu

With the advent of Transformers, time series forecasting has seen significant advances, yet it remains challenging due to the need for effective sequence representation, memory construction, and accurate target projection. Time series…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Robert Leppich , Michael Stenger , André Bauer , Samuel Kounev

In order to support the advancement of machine learning methods for predicting time-series data, we present a comprehensive dataset designed explicitly for long-term time-series forecasting. We incorporate a collection of datasets obtained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Jacek Cyranka , Szymon Haponiuk

This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett
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