English

PIAD-SRNN: Physics-Informed Adaptive Decomposition in State-Space RNN

Machine Learning 2025-07-14 v2 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

Time series forecasting often demands a trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. While recent Transformer models have improved forecasting capabilities, they come with high computational costs. Linear-based models have shown better accuracy than Transformers but still fall short of ideal performance. We propose PIAD-SRNN, a physics-informed adaptive decomposition state-space RNN, that separates seasonal and trend components and embeds domain equations in a recurrent framework. We evaluate PIAD-SRNN's performance on indoor air quality datasets, focusing on CO2 concentration prediction across various forecasting horizons, and results demonstrate that it consistently outperforms SoTA models in both long-term and short-term time series forecasting, including transformer-based architectures, in terms of both MSE and MAE. Besides proposing PIAD-SRNN which balances accuracy with efficiency, this paper also provides four curated datasets. Code and data: https://github.com/ahmad-shirazi/DSSRNN

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2412.00994,
  title  = {PIAD-SRNN: Physics-Informed Adaptive Decomposition in State-Space RNN},
  author = {Ahmad Mohammadshirazi and Pinaki Prasad Guha Neogi and Rajiv Ramnath},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.00994},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T20:18:53.537Z