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In this work we demonstrate how to automate parts of the infectious disease-control policy-making process via performing inference in existing epidemiological models. The kind of inference tasks undertaken include computing the posterior…

We present a common framework for Bayesian emulation methodologies for multivariate-output simulators, or computer models, that employ either parametric linear models or nonparametric Gaussian processes. Novel diagnostics suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Antony Overstall , David Woods

Many socio-economical critical domains (such as sustainability, public health, and disasters) are characterized by highly complex and dynamic systems, requiring data and model-driven simulations to support decision-making. Due to a large…

Many epidemic models are naturally defined as individual-based models: where we track the state of each individual within a susceptible population. Inference for individual-based models is challenging due to the high-dimensional state-space…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Christopher Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

There are many normative and technical questions involved in evaluating the quality of software used in epidemiological simulations. In this paper we answer some of these questions and offer practical guidance to practitioners, funders,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Jack K. Horner , John F. Symons

Developing foundation models in medical imaging requires continuous monitoring of downstream performance. Researchers are burdened with tracking numerous experiments, design choices, and their effects on performance, often relying on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Jan Tagscherer , Sarah de Boer , Lena Philipp , Fennie van der Graaf , Dré Peeters , Joeran Bosma , Lars Leijten , Bogdan Obreja , Ewoud Smit , Alessa Hering

Epidemiology models play a key role in understanding and responding to the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to build those models, scientists need to understand contributing factors and their relative importance. A large strand of literature has…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Axel Oehmichen , Florian Guitton , Cedric Wahl , Bertrand Foing , Damian Tziamtzis , Yike Guo

Although simulation represents a major advance in the understanding of problems in complex systems, the field currently does not has standards in place that would guide the reporting of the data underlying each model, the process for model…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-12-26 Elias Carvalho , Luciano Andrade , Ricardo Chaim , Ricardo Pietrobon

A prompt public health response to a new epidemic relies on the ability to monitor and predict its evolution in real time as data accumulate. The 2009 A/H1N1 outbreak in the UK revealed pandemic data as noisy, contaminated, potentially…

This review presents and reviews various solved and open problems in developing, analyzing, and mitigating epidemic spreading processes under human decision-making. We provide a review of a range of epidemic models and explain the pros and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-10 Yunhan Huang , Quanyan Zhu

With the advancement of computational network science, its research scope has significantly expanded beyond static graphs to encompass more complex structures. The introduction of streaming, temporal, multilayer, and hypernetwork approaches…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Michał Czuba , Mateusz Nurek , Damian Serwata , Yu-Xuan Qiu , Mingshan Jia , Katarzyna Musial , Radosław Michalski , Piotr Bródka

The current global health emergency triggered by the pandemic COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges mankind face in this generation. Computational simulations have played an important role to predict the development of the current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Kok Yew Ng , Meei Mei Gui

This paper gives an introduction to rule-based modelling applied to topics in infectious diseases. Rule-based models generalise reaction-based models with reagents that have internal state and may be bound together to form complexes, as in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-10 William Waites , Matteo Cavaliere , David Manheim , Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths , Vincent Danos

Computational chemistry allows researchers to experiment in sillico: by running a computer simulations of a biological or chemical processes of interest. Molecular dynamics with molecular mechanics model of interactions simulates N-body…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-03-03 Jana Pazúriková

Synthetic data is widely used in healthcare to create datasets that are similar to original data but without the privacy concerns. Generating and evaluating synthetic data across privacy, utility and fairness is crucial for facilitating…

The enabling of scientific experiments that are embarrassingly parallel, long running and data-intensive into a cloud-based execution environment is a desirable, though complex undertaking for many researchers. The management of such…

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Multiscale simulations are essential in the biomedical domain to accurately model human physiology. We present a modular approach for designing, constructing and executing multiscale simulations on a wide range of resources, from desktops…

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving epidemic control policies, but may be hindered by incomplete…

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