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Scientific machine learning (SciML) increasingly requires models that capture multimodal conditional uncertainty arising from ill-posed inverse problems, multistability, and chaotic dynamics. While recent work has favored highly expressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Leonardo Ferreira Guilhoto , Akshat Kaushal , Paris Perdikaris

Mixture Density Networks are a tried and tested tool for modelling conditional probability distributions. As such, they constitute a great baseline for novel approaches to this problem. In the standard formulation, an MDN takes some input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Jakob Kruse

Future prediction is a fundamental principle of intelligence that helps plan actions and avoid possible dangers. As the future is uncertain to a large extent, modeling the uncertainty and multimodality of the future states is of great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Osama Makansi , Eddy Ilg , Özgün Cicek , Thomas Brox

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Probabilistic machine learning techniques can learn both complex relations between input features and output quantities of interest as well as take into account stochasticity or uncertainty within a data set. In this initial work, we…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-10-28 A. E. Lovell , A. T. Mohan , P. Talou

Human motion prediction, which plays a key role in computer vision, generally requires a past motion sequence as input. However, in real applications, a complete and correct past motion sequence can be too expensive to achieve. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Chunzhi Gu , Yan Zhao , Chao Zhang

Fueled by breakthrough technology developments, the biological, biomedical, and behavioral sciences are now collecting more data than ever before. There is a critical need for time- and cost-efficient strategies to analyze and interpret…

Many, if not most, systems of interest in science are naturally described as nonlinear dynamical systems. Empirically, we commonly access these systems through time series measurements. Often such time series may consist of discrete random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Manuel Brenner , Florian Hess , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

Physics-constrained neural networks are commonly employed to enhance prediction robustness compared to purely data-driven models, achieved through the inclusion of physical constraint losses during the model training process. However, one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Hao Zhou , Sibo Cheng , Rossella Arcucci

This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett

Multi-modal behavior cloning faces significant challenges due to mode averaging and mode collapse, where traditional models fail to capture diverse input-output mappings. This problem is critical in applications like robotics, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yixiao Li , Julia Barth , Thomas Kiefer , Ahmad Fraij

We consider the application of deep generative models in propagating uncertainty through complex physical systems. Specifically, we put forth an implicit variational inference formulation that constrains the generative model output to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Generating human motion guided by conditions such as textual descriptions is challenging due to the need for datasets with pairs of high-quality motion and their corresponding conditions. The difficulty increases when aiming for finer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Pablo Ruiz-Ponce , German Barquero , Cristina Palmero , Sergio Escalera , José García-Rodríguez

From medical diagnosis to autonomous vehicles, critical applications rely on the integration of multiple heterogeneous data modalities. Multimodal Variational Autoencoders offer versatile and scalable methods for generating unobserved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Agathe Senellart , Stéphanie Allassonnière

Physics-based models of dynamical systems are often used to study engineering and environmental systems. Despite their extensive use, these models have several well-known limitations due to simplified representations of the physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Xiaowei Jia , Jared Willard , Anuj Karpatne , Jordan S Read , Jacob A Zwart , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

The discovery and study of new material systems rely on molecular simulations that often come with significant computational expense. We propose MDDM, a Molecular Dynamics Diffusion Model, which is capable of predicting a valid output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Kevin Ferguson , Yu-hsuan Chen , Levent Burak Kara

We present a framework for fine-tuning flow-matching generative models to enforce physical constraints and solve inverse problems in scientific systems. Starting from a model trained on low-fidelity or observational data, we apply a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Jan Tauberschmidt , Sophie Fellenz , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Andrew B. Duncan

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting models have become an integral part of machine learning. While several powerful generative models have been proposed, we provide evidence that their associated inference models are oftentimes too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Chen Qiu , Stephan Mandt , Maja Rudolph

A hybrid physics-machine learning modeling framework is proposed for the surface vehicles' maneuvering motions to address the modeling capability and stability in the presence of environmental disturbances. From a deep learning perspective,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Zihao Wang , Jian Cheng , Liang Xu , Lizhu Hao , Yan Peng

We describe a framework that can integrate prior physical information, e.g., the presence of kinematic constraints, to support data-driven simulation in multi-body dynamics. Unlike other approaches, e.g., Fully-connected Neural Network…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Jingquan Wang , Shu Wang , Huzaifa Mustafa Unjhawala , Jinlong Wu , Dan Negrut
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