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In light of the rapid recent retreat of Arctic sea ice, a number of studies have discussed the possibility of a critical threshold (or "tipping point") beyond which the ice-albedo feedback causes the ice cover to melt away in an…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-12-31 I. Eisenman , J. S. Wettlaufer

There is ongoing debate over whether Arctic sea-ice has already passed a `tipping point', or whether it will do so in the future. Several recent studies argue that the loss of summer sea ice does not involve an irreversible bifurcation,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-01-23 Valerie N. Livina , Timothy M. Lenton

We report on the shape dynamics of ice suspended in cold fresh water and subject to the natural convective flows generated during melting. Experiments reveal shape motifs for increasing far-field temperature: Sharp pinnacles directed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-09 Scott Weady , Joshua Tong , Alexandra Zidovska , Leif Ristroph

Climate change is progressing asynchronously between the Arctic and Antarctic, with important implications for global climate dynamics. While the Arctic has experienced rapid warming and pronounced amplification, the Antarctic has exhibited…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-22 Hongyu Wang , Jingfang Fan , Fei Xie , Jingyuan Li , Rui Shi , Yan Xia , Deliang Chen , Xiaosong Chen

Global warming is caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide (CO2). A metric used to quantify the change in CO2 emissions is the marginal emission factor, defined as the marginal change in CO2…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-24 Souhir Ben Amor , Smaranda Sgarciu , Taimyra BatzLineiro , Felix Muesgens

Many physical systems are forced by external inputs, which can sometimes take the form of chaotic variation. A particular example is found in applications related to weather and climate, where chaotic variation is prevalent across various…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-17 Courtney Quinn , Hassan Alkhayuon

We study a discrete-time asynchronous midpoint dynamics on the circle in which, at each step, a uniformly chosen neighboring pair moves to the midpoint along the shortest arc. Although the update rule is locally contractive, we show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Annika Brockhaus , Wioletta M. Ruszel , Cristian Spitoni

Carbon-dioxide (CO2) is the main contributor to anthropogenic global warming, and the timing of its peak concentration in the atmosphere is likely to govern the timing of maximum radiative forcing. It is well-known that dynamics of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-17 Ashwin K. Seshadri

We build a conceptual coupled model of the climate and tidal evolution of the Earth-Moon system to find the influence of the former on the latter. An energy balance model is applied to calculate steady-state temperature field from the mean…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Nan Wang , Zhi-Guo He

The rounding of the charge density wave depinning transition by thermal noise is examined. Hops by localized modes over small barriers trigger ``avalanches'', resulting in a creep velocity much larger than that expected from comparing…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 A. Alan Middleton

This paper investigates the initial boundary value problem for a non-stationary one-dimensional heat equation that simulates the temperature distribution in freshwater ice near the Earth's poles. The mathematical model has been constructed…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-11 A. A. Fedotov , V. V. Kaniber , P. V. Khrapov

During the last ice age several quasi-periodic abrupt warming events took place. Known as Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events their effects were felt globally, although the North Atlantic experienced the largest temperature anomalies.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-02-24 Raj Saha

Ammonia, if present in the ice shells of icy satellites, could lower the temperature for the onset of melting to 176 K and create a large temperature range where partial melt is thermally stable. The evolution of regions of ammonia-rich…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-23 Noah P. Hammond , Marc Parmentier , Amy C. Barr

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) monthly index is studied from 1825 till 2002 in order to identify the scaling ranges of its fluctuations upon different delay times and to find out whether or not it can be regarded as a Markov process.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. Collette , M. Ausloos

Higher concentrations of atmospheric nitrous oxide (N2O) are expected to slightly warm Earth's surface because of increases in radiative forcing. Radiative forcing is the difference in the net upward thermal radiation flux from the Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-30 C. A. de Lange , J. D. Ferguson , W. Happer , W. A. van Wijngaarden

The long-term relationship between radiative forcing and surface temperature is imperative for predicting the impacts of climate change. This study employs multicointegration to characterize this relationship and uses Transformed and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Justin Sun

Variations in zonal surface temperature gradients and zonally asymmetric tropical overturning circulations (Walker circulations) are examined over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized atmospheric general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Timothy M. Merlis , Tapio Schneider

The AMD-stability criterion allows to discriminate between a-priori stable planetary systems and systems for which the stability is not granted and needs further investigations. AMD-stability is based on the conservation of the Angular…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-08 Antoine C. Petit , Jacques Laskar , Gwenaël Boué

Transition metal oxides (TMOs) are complex electronic systems which exhibit a multitude of collective phenomena. Two archetypal examples are VO2 and NdNiO3, which undergo a metal-insulator phase-transition (MIT), the origin of which is…

Climate models exhibit an approximately invariant surface warming pattern in typical end-of-century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact assessments for fast calculations of local temperature anomalies,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Paolo Giani , Arlene M. Fiore , Glenn Flierl , Raffaele Ferrari , Noelle E. Selin
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