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Understanding customer lifetime value is key to nurturing long-term customer relationships, however, estimating it is far from straightforward. In the retail banking industry, commonly used approaches rely on simple heuristics and do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Greig Cowan , Salvatore Mercuri , Raad Khraishi

Estimating customer lifetime value (CLV or LTV) is extremely important for making better business decisions. The proposed flexible proportional hazards model allows an estimation of lifetime value in contractual settings. This approach…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-04 Vadim Pliner

Financial institutions increasingly adopt customer-centric strategies to enhance profitability and build long-term relationships. While Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) is a core metric, its calculations often rely solely on single-entity…

Companies across the globe are keen on targeting potential high-value customers in an attempt to expand revenue and this could be achieved only by understanding the customers more. Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) is the total monetary value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Karan Gadgil , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) is an important metric that measures the total value a customer will bring to a business over their lifetime. The Beta Geometric Negative Binomial Distribution (BGNBD) and Gamma Gamma Distribution are two…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-10 Sagarnil Das

As a measure of the long-term contribution produced by customers in a service or product relationship, life-time value, or LTV, can more comprehensively find the optimal strategy for service delivery. However, it is challenging to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zizhao Zhang , Yifei Zhao , Guangda Huzhang

We present a Bayesian framework for estimating the customer lifetime value (CLV) and the customer equity (CE) based on the purchasing behavior deducible from the market surveys on customer purchasing behavior. The proposed framework…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-12 Juha Karvanen , Ari Rantanen , Lasse Luoma

Accurate predictions of customers' future lifetime value (LTV) given their attributes and past purchase behavior enables a more customer-centric marketing strategy. Marketers can segment customers into various buckets based on the predicted…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-18 Xiaojing Wang , Tianqi Liu , Jingang Miao

The LifeTime Value (LTV) prediction, which endeavors to forecast the cumulative purchase contribution of a user to a particular item, remains a vital challenge that advertisers are keen to resolve. A precise LTV prediction system enhances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Aochuan Chen , Yifan Niu , Ziqi Gao , Yujie Sun , Shoujun Liu , Gong Chen , Yang Liu , Jia Li

Predicting customer future purchases and lifetime value is a key metrics for managing marketing campaigns and optimizing marketing spend. This task is specifically challenging when the relationships between the customer and the firm are of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Ziv Pollak

We develop an R package RMM to implement a Conditional Logit (CL) model using the Robust Demand Estimation (RDE) method introduced in Cho et al. (2020), a customer choice-based $\textbf{R}$evenue $\textbf{M}$anagement $\textbf{M}$odel. In…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 Chul Kim , Sanghoon Cho , Jongho Im

Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) prediction, a central problem in modern marketing, is characterized by a unique zero-inflated and long-tail data distribution. This distribution presents two fundamental challenges: (1) the vast majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Mingyu Zhao , Haoran Bai , Yu Tian , Bing Zhu , Hengliang Luo

We describe the Customer LifeTime Value (CLTV) prediction system deployed at ASOS.com, a global online fashion retailer. CLTV prediction is an important problem in e-commerce where an accurate estimate of future value allows retailers to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Benjamin Paul Chamberlain , Angelo Cardoso , C. H. Bryan Liu , Roberto Pagliari , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction aims to predict the probability that the user will click an item, which has been one of the key tasks in online recommender and advertising systems. In such systems, rich user behavior (viz. long- and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Huinan Sun , Guangliang Yu , Pengye Zhang , Bo Zhang , Xingxing Wang , Dong Wang

Accurately predicting customer Lifetime Value (LTV) is crucial for companies to optimize their revenue strategies. Traditional deep learning models for LTV prediction are effective but typically provide only point estimates and fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Xinzhe Cao , Yadong Xu , Xiaofeng Yang

Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV) prediction is a critical task in business applications. Accurately predicting CLTV is challenging in real-world business scenarios, as the distribution of CLTV is complex and mutable. Firstly, there is a large…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Yunpeng Weng , Xing Tang , Zhenhao Xu , Fuyuan Lyu , Dugang Liu , Zexu Sun , Xiuqiang He

For a successful business, engaging in an effective campaign is a key task for marketers. Most previous studies used various mathematical models to segment customers without considering the correlation between customer segmentation and a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Kunal Sawarkar , Sanket Jain

The value of raw data is unlocked by converting it into information and knowledge that drives decision-making. Machine Learning (ML) algorithms are capable of analysing large datasets and making accurate predictions. Market segmentation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-29 Diego Vallarino

Many modern commercial sites employ recommender systems to propose relevant content to users. While most systems are focused on maximizing the immediate gain (clicks, purchases or ratings), a better notion of success would be the lifetime…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-24 Assaf Hallak , Yishay Mansour , Elad Yom-Tov

Accurately modeling user preferences is vital not only for improving recommendation performance but also for enhancing transparency in recommender systems. Conventional user profiling methods, such as averaging item embeddings, often…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Milad Sabouri , Masoud Mansoury , Kun Lin , Bamshad Mobasher
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