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Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

A very popular model-agnostic technique for explaining predictive models is the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP). The two most popular versions of SHAP are a conditional expectation version and an unconditional expectation version (the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Ronald Richman , Mario V. Wüthrich

Active learning (AL) reduces labeling cost by querying informative samples, but in tabular settings its cold-start gains are often limited because uncertainty estimates are unreliable when models are trained on very few labels. Tabular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Wilailuck Treerath , Fabrizio Pittorino

For neural models to garner widespread public trust and ensure fairness, we must have human-intelligible explanations for their predictions. Recently, an increasing number of works focus on explaining the predictions of neural models in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Oana-Maria Camburu , Eleonora Giunchiglia , Jakob Foerster , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Phil Blunsom

Federated learning (FL) is a collaborative and privacy-preserving Machine Learning paradigm, allowing the development of robust models without the need to centralize sensitive data. A critical challenge in FL lies in fairly and accurately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Arno Geimer , Beltran Fiz , Radu State

Causal discovery is fundamental for multiple scientific domains, yet extracting causal information from real world data remains a significant challenge. Given the recent success on real data, we investigate whether TabPFN, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Omar Swelam , Lennart Purucker , Jake Robertson , Hanne Raum , Joschka Boedecker , Frank Hutter

A variety of recent papers discuss the application of Shapley values, a concept for explaining coalitional games, for feature attribution in machine learning. However, the correct way to connect a machine learning model to a coalitional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Hugh Chen , Joseph D. Janizek , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

In this paper, we propose ShapTST, a framework that enables time-series transformers to efficiently generate Shapley-value-based explanations alongside predictions in a single forward pass. Shapley values are widely used to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Qisen Cheng , Jinming Xing , Chang Xue , Xiaoran Yang

Data valuation, or the valuation of individual datum contributions, has seen growing interest in machine learning due to its demonstrable efficacy for tasks such as noisy label detection. In particular, due to the desirable axiomatic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Stephanie Schoch , Haifeng Xu , Yangfeng Ji

Task-agnostic tabular foundation models such as TabPFN have achieved impressive performance on tabular learning tasks, yet the origins of their inductive biases remain poorly understood. In this work, we study TabPFN through the lens of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Jianqiao Zheng , Cameron Gordon , Yiping Ji , Hemanth Saratchandran , Simon Lucey

Large language models (LLMs) demonstrate strong capabilities in in-context learning, but verifying the correctness of their generated responses remains a challenge. Prior work has explored attribution at the sentence level, but these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Yingtai Xiao , Yuqing Zhu , Sirat Samyoun , Wanrong Zhang , Jiachen T. Wang , Jian Du

Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) have become increasingly popular in recent years due to their superior predictive performance by combining both spatial and temporal information. However, how these models utilize the information to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Lea-Marie Sussek , Stefan Heindorf

As data emerges as a vital driver of technological and economic advancements, a key challenge is accurately quantifying its value in algorithmic decision-making. The Shapley value, a well-established concept from cooperative game theory,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Xi Zheng , Xiangyu Chang , Ruoxi Jia , Yong Tan

We propose a novel definition of Shapley values with uncertain value functions based on first principles using probability theory. Such uncertain value functions can arise in the context of explainable machine learning as a result of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Raoul Heese , Sascha Mücke , Matthias Jakobs , Thore Gerlach , Nico Piatkowski

We consider an investment process that includes a number of features, each of which can be active or inactive. Our goal is to attribute or decompose an achieved performance to each of these features, plus a baseline value. There are many…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-12 Nicholas Moehle , Stephen Boyd , Andrew Ang

Causal Structure Learning (CSL), also referred to as causal discovery, amounts to extracting causal relations among variables in data. CSL enables the estimation of causal effects from observational data alone, avoiding the need to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Fabrizio Russo , Francesca Toni

Shapley value is a popular approach for measuring the influence of individual features. While Shapley feature attribution is built upon desiderata from game theory, some of its constraints may be less natural in certain machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Yongchan Kwon , James Zou

Tabular data remains one of the most prevalent data types across a wide range of real-world applications, yet effective representation learning for this domain poses unique challenges due to its irregular patterns, heterogeneous feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Weijieying Ren , Tianxiang Zhao , Yuqing Huang , Vasant Honavar

The Shapley value provides a principled foundation for data valuation, but exact computation is #P-hard due to the exponential coalition space. Existing accelerations remain global and ignore a structural property of modern predictors: for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Xuan Yang , Hsi-Wen Chen , Ming-Syan Chen , Jian Pei

Shapley Values are concepts established for eXplainable AI. They are used to explain black-box predictive models by quantifying the features' contributions to the model's outcomes. Since computing the exact Shapley Values is known to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Davide Napolitano , Luca Cagliero