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TabPFN has recently gained attention as a foundation model for tabular datasets, achieving strong performance by leveraging in-context learning on synthetic data. However, we find that TabPFN is vulnerable to label shift, often overfitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Seunghan Lee

Shapley values are widely used for model-agnostic data valuation and feature attribution, yet they implicitly assume contributors are interchangeable. This can be problematic when contributors are dependent (e.g., reused/augmented data or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Kiljae Lee , Ziqi Liu , Weijing Tang , Yuan Zhang

Probabilistic graphical models, such as Markov random fields (MRF), exploit dependencies among random variables to model a rich family of joint probability distributions. Sophisticated inference algorithms, such as belief propagation (BP),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Yifei Liu , Chao Chen , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

We present an application of a foundation model for small- to medium-sized tabular data (TabPFN), to sub-national yield forecasting task in South Africa. TabPFN has recently demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional machine…

Feature selection is one of the most relevant processes in any methodology for creating a statistical learning model. Usually, existing algorithms establish some criterion to select the most influential variables, discarding those that do…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-10 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén

In this work, we study TabPFN as a training-free, modular summary network for simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI). Tabular foundation models such as TabPFN are pretrained on broad families of synthetic tabular data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Elliot Pickens , Chiraag Gohel , Sidharth Satya

With the adoption of machine learning-based solutions in routine clinical practice, the need for reliable interpretability tools has become pressing. Shapley values provide local explanations. The method gained popularity in recent years.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Lucile Ter-Minassian , Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Chris Holmes

This paper develops a rigorous argument for why the use of Shapley values in explainable AI (XAI) will necessarily yield provably misleading information about the relative importance of features for predictions. Concretely, this paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Xuanxiang Huang , Joao Marques-Silva

Shapley values are ubiquitous in interpretable Machine Learning due to their strong theoretical background and efficient implementation in the SHAP library. Computing these values previously induced an exponential cost with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Gabriel Laberge , Yann Pequignot

Shapley values have emerged as a critical tool for explaining which features impact the decisions made by machine learning models. However, computing exact Shapley values is difficult, generally requiring an exponential (in the feature…

Algorithmic fairness is of utmost societal importance, yet state-of-the-art large-scale machine learning models require training with massive datasets that are frequently biased. In this context, pre-processing methods that focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Adrian Arnaiz-Rodriguez , Nuria Oliver

The increasing complexity of foundational models underscores the necessity for explainability, particularly for fine-tuning, the most widely used training method for adapting models to downstream tasks. Instance attribution, one type of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Jingtan Wang , Xiaoqiang Lin , Rui Qiao , Chuan-Sheng Foo , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs) represent a paradigm shift in tabular data prediction. We present the principles of this new paradigm and evaluate two PFNs for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) of a binary treatment on a…

Prior-Data Fitted networks (PFNs) have been very successful in tabular contexts, handling prediction tasks in context. However, they are designed for single-task inference, meaning that predicting several target values within a context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Cormac Cureton , Narges Armanfard

Transformer-based tabular foundation models have recently demonstrated promising in-context learning (ICL) performance on structured data, emerging as competitive alternatives to gradient-boosted trees. However, the fairness implications of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Patrik Kenfack , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Ulrich Aïvodji

The vast majority of research on explainability focuses on post-explainability rather than explainable modeling. Namely, an explanation model is derived to explain a complex black box model built with the sole purpose of achieving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Gabriel Terejanu , Jawad Chowdhury , Rezaur Rashid , Asif Chowdhury

Data Shapley has recently been proposed as a principled framework to quantify the contribution of individual datum in machine learning. It can effectively identify helpful or harmful data points for a learning algorithm. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Yongchan Kwon , James Zou

Feature attributions based on the Shapley value are popular for explaining machine learning models; however, their estimation is complex from both a theoretical and computational standpoint. We disentangle this complexity into two factors:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Hugh Chen , Ian C. Covert , Scott M. Lundberg , Su-In Lee

Accurate molecular property prediction is central to drug discovery, catalysis, and process design, yet real-world applications are often limited by small datasets. Molecular foundation models provide a promising direction by learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Karim K. Ben Hicham , Jan G. Rittig , Martin Grohe , Alexander Mitsos

The application of Shapley values to high-dimensional, time-series-like data is computationally challenging - and sometimes impossible. For $N$ inputs the problem is $2^N$ hard. In image processing, clusters of pixels, referred to as…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-30 Lauren Elborough , Duncan Taylor , Melissa Humphries