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The upper tail of a claim size distribution of a property line of business is frequently modelled by Pareto distribution. However, the upper tail does not need to be Pareto distributed, extraordinary shapes are possible. Here, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Mathias Raschke

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

We introduce a new family of multivariate distributions by taking the component-wise Tukey-h transformation of a random vector following a skew-normal distribution. The proposed distribution is named the skew-normal-Tukey-h distribution and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-19 Sagnik Mondal , Marc G. Genton

This paper introduces a class of copula models for spatial data, based on multivariate Pareto-mixture distributions. We explore the tail properties of these models, demonstrating their ability to capture both tail dependence and asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Pavel Krupskii

In this paper, we discuss the application of extreme value theory in the context of stationary $\beta$-mixing sequences that belong to the Fr\'echet domain of attraction. In particular, we propose a methodology to construct bias-corrected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Armelle Guillou

We propose the Bayesian bridge estimator for regularized regression and classification. Two key mixture representations for the Bayesian bridge model are developed: (1) a scale mixture of normals with respect to an alpha-stable random…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-30 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Jesse Windle

Beta regression models are a suitable choice for continuous response variables on the unity interval. Random effects add further flexibility to the models and accommodate data structures such as hierarchical, repeated measures and…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner H. Bonat , Paulo J. Ribeiro , Walmes Marque Zeviani

Regression models, where the response variable is circular, are common in areas such as biology, geology and meteorology. A typical model assumes that the conditional distribution of the response follows a von-Mises distribution. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Najmeh Nakhaei Rad

Meta-analyses are regarded as the highest level in the hierarchy of evidence, yet standard models traditionally concentrated on estimating the mean effect size, often under restrictive assumptions about the underlying distribution, such as…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-04-02 Yefeng Yang , Shinichi Nakagawa

We propose a method for high dimensional multivariate regression that is robust to random error distributions that are heavy-tailed or contain outliers, while preserving estimation accuracy in normal random error distributions. We extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Mayu Hiraishi , Kensuke Tanioka , Hiroshi Yadohisa

This work proposes a statistical model for crossover trials with multiple skewed responses measured in each period. A 3 $\times$ 3 crossover trial data where different drug doses were administered to subjects with a history of seasonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Savita Pareek , Kalyan Das , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

Bias reduction in tail estimation has received considerable interest in extreme value analysis. Estimation methods that minimize the bias while keeping the mean squared error (MSE) under control, are especially useful when applying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andréhette Verster , Jan Beirlant

Meta-analysis, because of both logistical convenience and statistical efficiency, is widely popular for synthesizing information on common parameters of interest across multiple studies. We propose developing a generalized meta-analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Prosenjit Kundu , Runlong Tang , Nilanjan Chatterjee

Regression control charts are usually used to monitor variables of interest that are related to control variables. However, for fraction and/or proportion data, the use of standard regression control charts may not be adequate, since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-05 Fábio Mariano Bayer , Catia Michele Tondolo , Fernanda Maria Müller

Consider a binary mixture model of the form $F_\theta = (1-\theta)F_0 + \theta F_1$, where $F_0$ is standard Gaussian and $F_1$ is a completely specified heavy-tailed distribution with the same support. For a sample of $n$ independent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-09 Heather Battey , Peter McCullagh , Daniel Xiang

We investigate high-dimensional sparse regression when both the noise and the design matrix exhibit heavy-tailed behavior. Standard algorithms typically fail in this regime, as heavy-tailed covariates distort the empirical risk geometry. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Kaiyuan Zhou , Xiaoyu Zhang , Wenyang Zhang , Di Wang

Mixtures of regression are a powerful class of models for regression learning with respect to a highly uncertain and heterogeneous response variable of interest. In addition to being a rich predictive model for the response given some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Dat Do , Linh Do , XuanLong Nguyen

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

We suggest a simple Gaussian mixture model for data generation that complies with Feldman's long tail theory (2020). We demonstrate that a linear classifier cannot decrease the generalization error below a certain level in the proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Arman Bolatov , Maxat Tezekbayev , Igor Melnykov , Artur Pak , Vassilina Nikoulina , Zhenisbek Assylbekov

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the tail index of distributions with heavy, Pareto-type tails for dependent data, that is of interest in the areas of finance, insurance, environmental monitoring and teletraffic analysis. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-25 Stilian A Stoev , George Michailidis
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