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A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

Asymptotic theory of tail index estimation has been studied extensively in the frequentist literature on extreme values, but rarely in the Bayesian context. We investigate whether popular Bayesian kernel mixture models are able to support…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-19 Cheng Li , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

The mathematical properties of a family of generalized beta distribution, including beta-normal, skewed-t, log-F, beta-exponential, beta-Weibull distributions have recently been studied in several publications. This paper applies these…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-26 J. H. Sepanski , Lingji Kong

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Analysis of matrix-variate data is becoming increasingly common in the literature, particularly in the field of clustering and classification. It is well-known that real data, including real matrix-variate data, often exhibit high levels of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Abbas Mahdavi , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Ahad Jamalizadeh

High-dimensional health and surveillance studies often involve many collinear predictors, multiple correlated outcomes of different types, and latent heterogeneity across observational units. We propose a Bayesian latent-cluster…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Suyeon Kang

Models based on multivariate t distributions are widely applied to analyze data with heavy tails. However, all the marginal distributions of the multivariate t distributions are restricted to have the same degrees of freedom, making these…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-08 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

Modern risk modelling approaches deal with vectors of multiple components. The components could be, for example, returns of financial instruments or losses within an insurance portfolio concerning different lines of business. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele , Jaakko Lehtomaa

Beta regression models provide an adequate approach for modeling continuous outcomes limited to the interval (0,1). This paper deals with an extension of beta regression models that allow for explanatory variables to be measured with error.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-11 Jalmar M. F. Carrasco , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

In this paper, we introduce a mixture of skew-t factor analyzers as well as a family of mixture models based thereon. The mixture of skew-t distributions model that we use arises as a limiting case of the mixture of generalized hyperbolic…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-05 Paula M. Murray , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

Long-tailed classification poses a challenge due to its heavy imbalance in class probabilities and tail-sensitivity risks with asymmetric misprediction costs. Recent attempts have used re-balancing loss and ensemble methods, but they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Bolian Li , Ruqi Zhang

In this paper, we introduce reduced-bias estimators for the estimation of the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution. This is achieved through the use of a regularised weighted least squares with an exponential regression model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , G. Kallah-Dagadu , K. Doku-Amponsah

Bounded time series consisting of rates or proportions are often encountered in applications. This manuscript proposes a practical approach to analyze bounded time series, through a beta regression model. The method allows the direct…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-15 Annamaria Guolo , Cristiano Varin

Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have gained a lot of attention in recent years, with the development of myriad extensions to the basic model, including those which allow for multivariate longitudinal data, competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Katya Mauff , Ewout Steyerberg , Isabella Kardys , Eric Boersma , Dimitris Rizopoulos

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with a general beta prime distribution for the scale parameter. Under the assumption of sparsity, we show that appropriate selection of the hyperparameters in the beta prime prior leads…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

To provide a comprehensive summary of the tail distribution, the expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail above (or below) a certain quantile of the distribution. The expected shortfall regression captures the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yuanzhi Li , Shushu Zhang , Xuming He

We propose a Bayesian approach using improper priors for hierarchical linear mixed models with flexible random effects and residual error distributions. The error distribution is modelled using scale mixtures of normals, which can capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 F. J. Rubio , M. F. J. Steel

Panel data arise in a wide range of application areas, and developing modelling methods for extreme values under such a setup is essential for reliable risk assessment and management. When choosing to model the marginal distributions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Zefan Liu , Natalia Nolde

We propose a multivariate generative model to capture the complex dependence structure often encountered in business and financial data. Our model features heterogeneous and asymmetric tail dependence between all pairs of individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Xiangqian Sun , Xing Yan , Qi Wu

In various applications of heavy-tail modelling, the assumed Pareto behavior is tempered ultimately in the range of the largest data. In insurance applications, claim payments are influenced by claim management and claims may for instance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Jose Carlos Araujo Acuna , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant
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