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We consider a robust aggregation problem in the presence of both truthful and adversarial experts. The truthful experts will report their private signals truthfully, while the adversarial experts can report arbitrarily. We assume experts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Yongkang Guo , Yuqing Kong

Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

Metric embeddings into structured spaces, particularly hierarchically well-separated trees (HSTs), are a fundamental tool in the design of online algorithms. In the classical online embedding setting, points arrive sequentially and must be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Christian Coester , Yichen Huang

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

In this paper we will consider the estimation of a monotone regression (or density) function in a fixed point by the least squares (Grenander) estimator. We will show that this estimator is fully adaptive, in the sense that the attained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Eric Cator

This paper proposes two projector-based Hopfield neural network (HNN) estimators for online, constrained parameter estimation under time-varying data, additive disturbances, and slowly drifting physical parameters. The first is a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Miguel Pedro Silva

We begin by introducing a class of conditional density estimators based on local polynomial techniques. The estimators are boundary adaptive and easy to implement. We then study the (pointwise and) uniform statistical properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Personalized alignment aims to adapt large language models to heterogeneous user preferences, yet the precise theoretical conditions for its statistical efficiency have not been formally established. This paper characterizes the conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Enoch Hyunwook Kang

Many engineered systems must balance competing objectives, such as performance and safety, cost and reliability, or efficiency and sustainability, and are naturally modeled as compositions of interacting subsystems. We study online…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Meshal Alharbi , Munther A. Dahleh , Gioele Zardini

Large tensor learning algorithms are typically computationally expensive and require storing a vast amount of data. In this paper, we propose a unified online Riemannian gradient descent (oRGrad) algorithm for tensor learning, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-23 Jingyang Li , Jian-Feng Cai , Yang Chen , Dong Xia

We aim at estimating a function $\lambda:[0,1]\to \mathbb {R}$, subject to the constraint that it is decreasing (or increasing). We provide a unified approach for studying the $\mathbb {L}_p$-loss of an estimator defined as the slope of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cécile Durot

We consider the online version of the isotonic regression problem. Given a set of linearly ordered points (e.g., on the real line), the learner must predict labels sequentially at adversarially chosen positions and is evaluated by her total…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Wojciech Kotłowski , Wouter M. Koolen , Alan Malek

Several interesting generative learning algorithms involve a complex probability distribution over many random variables, involving intractable normalization constants or latent variable normalization. Some of them may even not have an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Kyunghyun Cho

The problem of estimating the probability p=P(g(X<0) is considered when X represents a multivariate stochastic input of a monotone function g. First, a heuristic method to bound p is formally described, involving a specialized design of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet

We propose a new partial-observability model for online learning problems where the learner, besides its own loss, also observes some noisy feedback about the other actions, depending on the underlying structure of the problem. We represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Tomáš Kocák , Gergely Neu , Michal Valko

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

To investigate a dilemma of statistical and computational efficiency faced by long-run variance estimators, we propose a decomposition of kernel weights in a quadratic form and some online inference principles. These proposals allow us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Man Fung Leung , Kin Wai Chan

We study the problem of high-dimensional robust mean estimation in an online setting. Specifically, we consider a scenario where $n$ sensors are measuring some common, ongoing phenomenon. At each time step $t=1,2,\ldots,T$, the $i^{th}$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Daniel M. Kane , Ilias Diakonikolas , Hanshen Xiao , Sihan Liu

Let $(Y_t)_{t\geq 1}$ be a sequence of i.i.d.\ observations and $\{f_\theta,\theta\in \mathbb{R}^d\}$ be a parametric model. We introduce a new online algorithm for computing a sequence $(\hat{\theta}_t)_{t\geq 1}$ which is shown to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Mathieu Gerber , Kari Heine