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Sequential recommender systems have achieved steady gains in offline accuracy, yet it remains unclear how close current models are to the intrinsic accuracy limit imposed by the data. A reliable, model-agnostic estimate of this ceiling…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-15 En Xu , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

We deal with the problem of the adaptive estimation of the $\mathbb{L}_2$-norm of a probability density on $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$, from independent observations. The unknown density is assumed to be uniformly bounded and to belong to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Galatia Cleanthous , Athanasios G. Georgiadis , Oleg V. Lepski

Estimating accurate and well-calibrated predictive uncertainty is important for enhancing the reliability of computer vision models, especially in safety-critical applications like traffic scene perception. While ensemble methods are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Svetlana Pavlitska , Beyza Keskin , Alwin Faßbender , Christian Hubschneider , J. Marius Zöllner

The problem of nonparametric inference on a monotone function has been extensively studied in many particular cases. Estimators considered have often been of so-called Grenander type, being representable as the left derivative of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Ted Westling , Marco Carone

Projection-free online learning has drawn increasing interest due to its efficiency in solving high-dimensional problems with complicated constraints. However, most existing projection-free online methods focus on minimizing the static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yibo Wang , Wenhao Yang , Wei Jiang , Shiyin Lu , Bing Wang , Haihong Tang , Yuanyu Wan , Lijun Zhang

In this paper, we prove that it is possible to estimate online the parameters of a classical vector linear regression equation $ Y=\Omega \theta$, where $ Y \in \mathbb{R}^n,\;\Omega \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times q}$ are bounded, measurable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Marina Korotina , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Stanislav Aranovskiy , Alexey Bobtsov , Romeo Ortega

The goal of a learner, in standard online learning, is to have the cumulative loss not much larger compared with the best-performing function from some fixed class. Numerous algorithms were shown to have this gap arbitrarily close to zero,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-04 Nina Vaits , Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

Recent studies have shown that it is possible to combine machine learning methods with data assimilation to reconstruct a dynamical system using only sparse and noisy observations of that system. The same approach can be used to correct the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-09 Alban Farchi , Marc Bocquet , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Quentin Malartic

Optimal Transport (OT) distances are now routinely used as loss functions in ML tasks. Yet, computing OT distances between arbitrary (i.e. not necessarily discrete) probability distributions remains an open problem. This paper introduces a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Arthur Mensch , Gabriel Peyré

We study online learning in the random-order model, where the multiset of loss functions is chosen adversarially but revealed in a uniformly random order. By extending the batch-to-online transformation of Dong and Yoshida (2023), we show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Shinsaku Sakaue , Yuichi Yoshida

Given the ubiquity of streaming data, online algorithms have been widely used for parameter estimation, with second-order methods particularly standing out for their efficiency and robustness. In this paper, we study an online sketched…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Wei Kuang , Mihai Anitescu , Sen Na

We analyze an online learning algorithm that adaptively combines outputs of two constituent algorithms (or the experts) running in parallel to model an unknown desired signal. This online learning algorithm is shown to achieve (and in some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-01 Mehmet A. Donmez , Sait Tunc , Suleyman S. Kozat

We present an algorithm for the statistical learning setting with a bounded exp-concave loss in $d$ dimensions that obtains excess risk $O(d \log(1/\delta)/n)$ with probability at least $1 - \delta$. The core technique is to boost the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-17 Nishant A. Mehta

We observe a $n$-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Alexandre Lecestre

We consider the problem of online linear regression in the stochastic setting. We derive high probability regret bounds for online ridge regression and the forward algorithm. This enables us to compare online regression algorithms more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Reda Ouhamma , Odalric Maillard , Vianney Perchet

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

In this paper, the problem of distributed optimization is studied via a network of agents. Each agent only has access to a stochastic gradient of its own objective function in the previous time, and can communicate with its neighbors via a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Yuchen Yang , Kaihong Lu , Long Wang

This paper addresses the problem of online network topology inference for expanding graphs from a stream of spatiotemporal signals. Online algorithms for dynamic graph learning are crucial in delay-sensitive applications or when changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Samuel Rey , Bishwadeep Das , Elvin Isufi

This paper considers a class of real-time decision making problems to minimize the expected value of a function that depends on a random variable $\xi$ under an unknown distribution $\mathbb{P}$. In this process, samples of $\xi$ are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martinez

We revisit the problem of online learning with individual fairness, where an online learner strives to maximize predictive accuracy while ensuring that similar individuals are treated similarly. We first extend the frameworks of Gillen et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Yahav Bechavod
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