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Phylogenetic comparative methods may fail to produce meaningful results when either the underlying model is inappropriate or the data contain insufficient information to inform the inference. The ability to measure the statistical power of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-26 Carl Boettiger , Graham Coop , Peter Ralph

Phylogenetic inference is an intractable statistical problem on a complex space. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are the primary tool for Bayesian phylogenetic inference but it is challenging to construct efficient schemes to explore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Luke J. Kelly , Robin J. Ryder , Grégoire Clarté

We show that evolutionary computation can be implemented as standard Markov-chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling. With some care, `genetic algorithms' can be constructed that are reversible Markov chains that satisfy detailed balance; it…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-13 Chris Watkins , Yvonne Buttkewitz

Phylogenetic trees are simple models of evolutionary processes. They describe conditionally independent divergent evolution of taxa from common ancestors. Phylogenetic trees commonly do not have enough flexibility to adequately model all…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-11 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Barbara R. Holland

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms play a key role in the Bayesian approach to phylogenetic inference. In this paper, we present the first theoretical work analyzing the rate of convergence of several Markov chains widely used in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel , Eric Vigoda

Mounting evidence suggests that natural populations can harbor extensive fitness diversity with numerous genomic loci under selection. It is also known that genealogical trees for populations under selection are quantifiably different from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-04 Adel Dayarian , Boris I Shraiman

The potential effects of conservation actions on threatened species can be predicted using ensemble ecosystem models by forecasting populations with and without intervention. These model ensembles commonly assume stable coexistence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-22 Sarah A. Vollert , Christopher Drovandi , Matthew P. Adams

Intragenomic recombination (crossover) is a very important evolutionary mechanism. The crossover events are not evenly distributed along the natural chromosomes. Monte Carlo simulations revealed that frequency of recombinations decides…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2009-01-13 Wojciech Waga , Marta Zawierta , Jakub Kowalski , Stanislaw Cebrat

Population Monte Carlo (PMC) sampling methods are powerful tools for approximating distributions of static unknowns given a set of observations. These methods are iterative in nature: at each step they generate samples from a proposal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-17 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Phylogenetics, the inference of evolutionary trees from molecular sequence data such as DNA, is an enterprise that yields valuable evolutionary understanding of many biological systems. Bayesian phylogenetic algorithms, which approximate a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-27 Vu Dinh , Aaron E. Darling , Frederick A. Matsen

Cancers follow a clonal Darwinian evolution, with fitter subclones replacing more quiescent cells, ultimately giving rise to macroscopic disease. High-throughput genomics provides the opportunity to investigate these processes and determine…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-07 Sakellarios Zairis , Hossein Khiabanian , Andrew J. Blumberg , Raul Rabadan

The reconstruction of phylogenies from DNA or protein sequences is a major task of computational evolutionary biology. Common phenomena, notably variations in mutation rates across genomes and incongruences between gene lineage histories,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

In evolution theory the concept of a fitness landscape has played an important role, evolution itself being portrayed as a hill-climbing process on a rugged landscape. In this article it is shown that in general, in the presence of other…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-17 C. R. Stephens

We have simulated demographic changes in the human population using the Penna microscopic model, based on the simple Monte Carlo method. The results of simulations have shown that during a few generations changes in the genetic pool of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Laszkiewicz , Sz. Szymczak , S. Cebrat

One of the classical questions in evolutionary biology is how evolutionary processes are coupled at the gene and species level. With this motivation, we compare the topological properties (mainly the depth scaling, as a characterization of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-26 E. Alejandro Herrada , Víctor M. Eguíluz , Emilio Hernández-García , Carlos M. Duarte

This paper addresses the problem of Monte Carlo approximation of posterior probability distributions. In particular, we have considered a recently proposed technique known as population Monte Carlo (PMC), which is based on an iterative…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-03 Eugenia Koblents , Joaquín Míguez

Many biological studies involve inferring the evolutionary history of a sample of individuals from a large population and interpreting the reconstructed tree. Such an ascertained tree typically represents only a small part of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Michael Celentano , William S. DeWitt , Sebastian Prillo , Yun S. Song

Molecular phenotypes are important links between genomic information and organismic functions, fitness, and evolution. Complex phenotypes, which are also called quantitative traits, often depend on multiple genomic loci. Their evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 Armita Nourmohammad , Stephan Schiffels , Michael Laessig

Purpose: In recent years Monte-Carlo sampling methods, such as Monte Carlo tree search, have achieved tremendous success in model free reinforcement learning. A combination of the so called upper confidence bounds policy to preserve the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-24 Boris Mitavskiy , Jonathan Rowe , Chris Cannings

In Bayesian phylogenetics, our goal is to estimate the posterior distribution over phylogenetic trees. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are widely used to approximate the phylogenetic posterior distributions. For large-scale sequence data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Wentao Yu , Shijia Wang