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Our model is a constrained homogeneous random walk in a nonnegative orthant Z_+^d. The convergence to stationarity for such a random walk can often be checked by constructing a Lyapunov function. The same Lyapunov function can also be used…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Gamarnik

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

In Pires {\it et al.} [Phys. Rev. E 84, 066210 (2011)] intermittent maps are considered, and the tight relationship between correlation decay of smooth observables and large deviations estimates, as for instance employed in Artuso and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-01-30 Roberto Artuso , Cesar Manchein

This paper develops mixed-normal approximations for probabilities that vectors of multiple Skorohod integrals belong to random convex polytopes when the dimensions of the vectors possibly diverge to infinity. We apply the developed theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Yuta Koike

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

We consider local alignments without gaps of two independent Markov chains from a finite alphabet, and we derive sufficient conditions for the number of essentially different local alignments with a score exceeding a high threshold to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Niels Richard Hansen

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are often used for approximate inference inside learning, but their slow mixing can be difficult to diagnose and the approximations can seriously degrade learning. To alleviate these issues, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-25 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

In the context of multilevel longitudinal data, where sample units are collected in clusters, an important aspect that should be accounted for is the unobserved heterogeneity between sample units and between clusters. For this aim we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-10 F. Bartolucci , M. Lupparelli

We apply the method of differential inequalities for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime for one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. To obtain these estimates, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Alexander Zeifman , Yacov Satin , Alexander Sipin

In this paper, we establish novel concentration inequalities for additive functionals of geometrically ergodic Markov chains similar to Rosenthal inequalities for sums of independent random variables. We pay special attention to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Marina Sheshukova

We study the large deviations principle for one dimensional, continuous, homogeneous, strong Markov processes that do not necessarily behave locally as a Wiener process. Any strong Markov process $X_{t}$ in $\mathbb{R}$ that is continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-19 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper we produce precise large deviation estimates through the lens of mod-Poisson convergence. We apply a general result to various examples from number theory, Dedekind domains and polynomials over finite fields when an element is…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Michael Cranston , Mariia Khodiakova

We prove a large deviation principle on path space for a class of discrete time Markov processes whose state space is the intersection of a regular domain $\L\subset \R^d$ with some lattice of spacing $\e$. Transitions from $x$ to $y$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Veronique Gayrard

In a recent paper, Melbourne and Terhesiu [Operator renewal theory and mixing rates for dynamical systems with infinite measure, Invent. Math. 189 (2012), 61-110] obtained results on mixing and mixing rates for a large class of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Ian Melbourne

Many natural Markov chains fail to mix to their stationary distribution in polynomially many steps. Often, this slow mixing is inevitable since it is computationally intractable to sample from their stationary measure. Nevertheless, Markov…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Kuikui Liu , Sidhanth Mohanty , Prasad Raghavendra , Amit Rajaraman , David X. Wu

We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

In 2019 Anthony Quas, Philippe Thieullen and Mohamed Zarrabi introduced the concept of strong fast invertibility for linear cocycles. It relates the growth of volumes between different initial times and, together with a condition on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Florian Noethen

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

Multivariate normal mixtures provide a flexible model for high-dimensional data. They are widely used in statistical genetics, statistical finance, and other disciplines. Due to the unboundedness of the likelihood function, classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-27 Jiahua Chen , Xianming Tan