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Analyzing data from multiple sources offers valuable opportunities to improve the estimation efficiency of causal estimands. However, this analysis also poses many challenges due to population heterogeneity and data privacy constraints.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 Rong Zhao , Jason Falvey , Xu Shi , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Chixiang Chen

Under current policy decision making paradigm, we make or evaluate a policy decision by intervening different socio-economic parameters and analyzing the impact of those interventions. This process involves identifying the causal relation…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-07 Md Saiful Islam , Md Sarowar Morshed , Gary J. Young , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Causal structure learning refers to a process of identifying causal structures from observational data, and it can have multiple applications in biomedicine and health care. This paper provides a practical review and tutorial on scalable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Pulakesh Upadhyaya , Kai Zhang , Can Li , Xiaoqian Jiang , Yejin Kim

Precision medicine is an approach for disease treatment that defines treatment strategies based on the individual characteristics of the patients. Motivated by an open problem in cancer genomics, we develop a novel model that flexibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Matteo Pedone , Raffaele Argiento , Francesco C. Stingo

Accurate predictions, as with machine learning, may not suffice to provide optimal healthcare for every patient. Indeed, prediction can be driven by shortcuts in the data, such as racial biases. Causal thinking is needed for data-driven…

The proliferation of early diagnostic technologies, including self-monitoring systems and wearables, coupled with the application of these technologies on large segments of healthy populations may significantly aggravate the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Anna Fedyukova , Douglas Pires , Daniel Capurro

One size fits all approaches to medicine have become a thing of the past as the understanding of individual differences grows. The paper introduces a test for the presence of heterogeneity in treatment effects in a clinical trial.…

Causal inference has recently gained notable attention across various fields like biology, healthcare, and environmental science, especially within explainable artificial intelligence (xAI) systems, for uncovering the causal relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Xiaofeng Xiao , Khawlah Alharbi , Pengyu Zhang , Hantang Qin , Xubo Yue

Cervical dystonia, a debilitating neurological disorder marked by involuntary muscle contractions and chronic pain, presents significant treatment challenges despite advances in botulinum toxin therapy. While botulinum toxin type B has…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-22 D. Baidoo , E. Kubuafor , S. F. Osarfo , F. A. Agyei-Owusu , J. A. Frimpong , R. Amevor , A. Duah , F. Aboagye

In empirical studies with time-to-event outcomes, investigators often leverage observational data to conduct causal inference on the effect of exposure when randomized controlled trial data is unavailable. Model misspecification and lack of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Shenbo Xu , Bang Zheng , Bowen Su , Stan Finkelstein , Roy Welsch , Kenney Ng , Ioanna Tzoulaki , Zach Shahn

In this study, we introduce the application of causal disparity analysis to unveil intricate relationships and causal pathways between sensitive attributes and the targeted outcomes within real-world observational data. Our methodology…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Farnaz Kohankhaki , Shaina Raza , Oluwanifemi Bamgbose , Deval Pandya , Elham Dolatabadi

Treatment effects vary across different patients and estimation of this variability is important for clinical decisions. The aim is to develop a model to estimate the benefit of alternative treatment options for individual patients. Hence,…

Personalized medicine based on medical images, including predicting future individualized clinical disease progression and treatment response, would have an enormous impact on healthcare and drug development, particularly for diseases (e.g.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Joshua Durso-Finley , Berardino Barile , Jean-Pierre Falet , Douglas L. Arnold , Nick Pawlowski , Tal Arbel

In the genomic era, the identification of gene signatures associated with disease is of significant interest. Such signatures are often used to predict clinical outcomes in new patients and aid clinical decision-making. However, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Naim U. Rashid , Quefeng Li , Jen Jen Yeh , Joseph G. Ibrahim

We propose strategies to estimate and make inference on key features of heterogeneous effects in randomized experiments. These key features include best linear predictors of the effects using machine learning proxies, average effects sorted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Victor Chernozhukov , Mert Demirer , Esther Duflo , Iván Fernández-Val

Human decision-making differs due to variation in both incentives and available information. This constitutes a substantial challenge for the evaluation of whether and how machine learning predictions can improve decision outcomes. We…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-24 Michael Allan Ribers , Hannes Ullrich

Appropriate antithrombotic therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) requires assessment of ischemic stroke and bleeding risks. However, risk stratification schemas such as CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED have modest predictive capacity…

As artificial intelligence systems move toward clinical deployment, ensuring reliable prediction behavior is fundamental for safety-critical decision-making tasks. One proposed safeguard is selective prediction, where models can defer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 L. Julián Lechuga López , Farah E. Shamout , Tim G. J. Rudner

Antimicrobial stewardship (AMS) is critical in pediatric intensive care units (PICUs), where diagnostic uncertainty often drives broad-spectrum antibiotic use, increasing antimicrobial resistance and potential long-term harms. Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Niklas Raehse , Luregn J. Schlapbach , Daphné Chopard

Background: While machine learning (ML) models are rapidly emerging as promising screening tools in critical care medicine, the identification of homogeneous subphenotypes within populations with heterogeneous conditions such as pediatric…