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We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

We develop a general approach of the almost sure central limit theorem for the quasi-continuous vectorial martingales and we release a quadratic extension of this theorem while specifying speeds of convergence. As an application of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Faouzi Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier

A new technique for proving uniqueness of martingale problems is introduced. The method is illustrated in the context of elliptic diffusions in $R^d$.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-04 Richard F. Bass , Edwin A. Perkins

Probability forecasts of events are routinely used in climate predictions, in forecasting default probabilities on bank loans or in estimating the probability of a patient's positive response to treatment. Scoring rules have long been used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Tze Leung Lai , Shulamith T. Gross , David Bo Shen

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

A statistical mechanics argument relating partition functions to martingales is used to get a condition under which random geometric processes can describe interfaces in 2d statistical mechanics at criticality. Requiring multiple SLEs to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-04-10 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Kalle Kytola

Mat\'ern's hard-core processes are valuable point process models in spatial statistics. In order to extend their field of application, Mat\'ern's original models are generalized here, both as point processes and particle processes. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-13 Jakob Teichmann , Felix Ballani , Karl Gerald van den Boogaart

In this paper we define contractive and nonexpansive properties for adapted stochastic processes $X_1, X_2, \ldots $ which can be used to deduce limiting properties. In general, nonexpansive processes possess finite limits while contractive…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Anthony Almudevar

The paper deals with the asymptotic laws of functional of standard random variables. These classes of statistics are closely related to estimators of the extreme value index when the underlying distribution function is in the Weibull domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-22 Gane Samb Lo , Adja Mbarka Fall , Cheikhna Hamallah Ndiaye , Akym Adekpejou

Let $(W_n(\theta))_{n \in \mathbb{N}_0}$ be Biggins' martingale associated with a supercritical branching random walk, and let $W(\theta)$ be its almost sure limit. Under a natural condition for the offspring point process in the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Alexander Iksanov , Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

We investigate aspects of semimartingale decompositions, approximation and the martingale representation for multidimensional correlated Markov processes. A new interpretation of the dependence among processes is given using the martingale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Antonio Dalessandro , Gareth W. Peters

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

We provide a condition for f-ergodicity of strong Markov processes at a subgeometric rate. This condition is couched in terms of a supermartingale property for a functional of the Markov process. Equivalent formulations in terms of a drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Gersende Fort , Arnaud Guillin

In this paper, we aim at characterizing generalized functionals of discrete-time normal martingales. Let $M=(M_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be a discrete-time normal martingale that has the chaotic representation property. We first construct…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Caishi Wang , Jinshu Chen

Based on a weak convergence argument, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition that guarantees that a nonnegative local martingale is indeed a martingale. Typically, conditions of this sort are expressed in terms of integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Jose Blanchet , Johannes Ruf

A new type of dependent thinning for point processes in continuous space is proposed, which leverages the advantages of determinantal point processes defined on finite spaces and, as such, is particularly amenable to statistical, numerical,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Paul Keeler

We offer a new proof of the classical law of large numbers for a general class of branching Markov processes based on the asymptotic behaviour of the moments developed in \cite{bmoments, gonzalez2022erratum}. Moreover, we show that the law…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Christopher B. C. Dean , János Engländer , Emma Horton

Let $W_n, n\in\mn_{0}$ be an intrinsic martingale with almost sure limit $W$ in a supercritical branching random walk. We provide criteria for the $L_p$-convergence of the series $\sum_{n\ge 0} e^{an}(W-W_n)$ for $p>1$ and $a>0$. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-24 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alex Iksanov , Sergej Polotsky , Uwe Roesler

We derive diffusion constants and martingales for senile random walks with the help of a time-change. We provide direct computations of the diffusion constants for the time-changed walks. Alternatively, the values of these constants can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-19 Wouter Kager