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We consider the motion of a particle on a Galton Watson tree, when the probabilities of jumping from a vertex to any one of its neighbours is determined by a random process. Given the tree, positive weights are assigned to the edges in such…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 A. D. Barbour , A. Collevecchio

We study the joint laws of a continuous, uniformly integrable martingale, its maximum, and its minimum. In particular, we give explicit martingale inequalities which provide upper and lower bounds on the joint exit probabilities of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Alexander M. G. Cox , Jan Obłój

It is well known that a simple, supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process turns into a subcritical such process, if conditioned to die out. We prove that the corresponding holds true for general, multi-type branching, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-13 Peter Jagers , Andreas Nordvall Lagerås

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

We consider a subcritical Galton--Watson tree conditioned on having $n$ vertices with outdegree in a fixed set $\Omega$. Under mild regularity assumptions we prove various limits related to the maximal offspring of a vertex as $n$ tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Benedikt Stufler

The main result of the article reads: the distribution of a continuous starting from zero local martingale whose quadratic characteristic is almost surely absolutely continuous with respect to some non-random increasing continuous function…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-17 Andriy Yurachkivsky

We are interested in nodes with fixed outdegrees in large conditioned Galton--Watson trees. We first study the scaling limits of processes coding the evolution of the number of such nodes in different explorations of the tree…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Paul Thévenin

Positive $T$-martingales were developed as a general framework that extends the positive measure-valued martingales and are meant to model intermittent turbulence. We extend their scope by allowing the martingale to take complex values. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Julien Barral , Xiong Jin , Benoît Mandelbrot

This paper is a collection of recent results on discrete-time and continuous-time branching random walks. Some results are new and others are known. Many aspects of this theory are considered: local, global and strong local survival, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

We present, in the simplest possible form, the so called martingale problem strategy to establish limit theorems. The presentation is specially adapted to problems arising in partially hyperbolic dynamical systems. We will discuss a simple…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Jacopo De Simoi , Carlangelo Liverani

Using changes of probability measure developed by \mbox{Grama} and Haeusler (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000), we obtain two generalizations of the deviation inequalities of Lanzinger and Stadtm\"{u}ller (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan

Input-output, growth-decay, production-consumption type situations abound in many practical problems. When the input and output variables are independently gamma distributed, various aspects of the residual effect are already tackled by the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Arak Mathai Mathai

We use orthogonality measures of Askey--Wilson polynomials to construct Markov processes with linear regressions and quadratic conditional variances. Askey--Wilson polynomials are orthogonal martingale polynomials for these processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 Włodek Bryc , Jacek Wesołowski

In this paper, we will extend the falling and rising factorial transforms \cite{ref. 1} which in this case every arbitrary function can be applied. Then, the properties of these transforms will be investigated and some corollaries will be…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Parham Zarghami

Recently, the complete left tail asymptotic for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of the classical Galton-Watson process has been derived. The derivation is based on the properties of a special function (whose inverse Fourier…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Anton A Kutsenko

We give a simple non-analytic proof of Biggins' theorem on martingale convergence for branching random walks.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Russell Lyons

We present the winning strategy for the EVA2025 Data Challenge, which aimed to estimate the probability of extreme precipitation events. These events occurred at most once in the dataset making the challenge fundamentally one of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

A popular approximation in lattice gauge theory is an extrapolation in the number of fermion species away from the four fold degeneracy natural with the staggered fermion formulation. I show that the extrapolation procedure mutilates the…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 Michael Creutz

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

We consider branching random walks and contact processes on infinite, connected, locally finite graphs whose reproduction and infectivity rates across edges are inversely proportional to vertex degree. We show that when the ambient graph is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Wei Su
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