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Nerman's martingale plays a central role in the law of large numbers for both, single- and multi-type, supercritical general branching processes. There are further, complex-valued Nerman-type martingales in the single-type process that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners , Ivana Tomic

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

New proofs are given of the existence of the compensator (or dual predictable projection) of a locally integrable c\'adl\'ag adapted process of finite variation and of the existence of the quadratic variation process for a c\'adl\'ag local…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Alexander Sokol

We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Bob Pepin

We provide verification theorems (at different levels of generality) for infinite horizon stochastic control problems in continuous time for semimartingales. The control framework is given as an abstract "martingale formulation", which…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ma. Elena Hernández-Hernández , Saul Jacka , Aleksandar Mijatović

We consider a branching random walk in the non-boundary case where the additive martingale $W_n$ converges a.s. and in mean to some non-degenerate limit $W_\infty$. We first establish the joint tail distribution of $W_\infty$ and the global…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Loïc de Raphélis , Heng Ma

We define a model of Galton Watson processes in dynamical environments where the environment evolves according to a dynamical system (X, T). Three behaviours are possible: uniformly subcritical, critical, and uniformly supercritical. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Thomas Morand

A novel approach is proposed to establish a sharp upper bound on the expected supremum of a separable martingale random field, serving as an alternative to classical universal chaining-based methods. The proposed approach begins by deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yoichi Nishiyama

We investigate the reverse mathematics strength of Martin's pointed tree theorem (MPT) and one of its variants, weak Martin's pointed tree theorem (wMPT).

Logic · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Rupert Hölzl , Frank Stephan , Liang Yu

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

Biggins [Uniform convergence of martingales in the branching random walk. {\em Ann. Probab.}, 20(1):137--151, 1992] proved local uniform convergence of additive martingales in $d$-dimensional supercritical branching random walks at complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

In this paper, martingales related to simple random walks and their maximum process are investigated. First, a sufficient condition under which a function with three arguments, time, the random walk, and its maximum process becomes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Takahiko Fujita , Shotaro Yagishita , Naohiro Yoshida

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

Given a real valued and time-inhomogeneous martingale diffusion X, we investigate the properties of functions defined by the conditional expectation f(t,X_t)=E[g(X_T)|F_t]. We show that whenever g is monotonic or Lipschitz continuous then…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 George Lowther

In this paper, we investigate specific least action principles for laws of stochastic processes within a framework which stands on filtrations preserving variations. The associated Euler-Lagrange conditions, which we obtain, exhibit a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Rémi Lassalle

For a class of martingales, this paper provides a framework on the uniform consistency with broad applicability. The main condition imposed is only related to the conditional variance of the martingale, which holds true for stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Qiying Wang , Nigel Chan

We present the formalization of Doob's martingale convergence theorems in the mathlib library for the Lean theorem prover. These theorems give conditions under which (sub)martingales converge, almost everywhere or in $L^1$. In order to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Kexing Ying , Rémy Degenne

A rigorous connection between large deviations theory and Gamma-convergence is established. Applications include representations formulas for rate functions, a contraction principle for measurable maps, a large deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-02 Mauro Mariani

A branching L\'evy process can be seen as the continuous-time version of a branching random walk. It describes a particle system on the real line in which particles move and reproduce independently in a Poissonian manner. Just as for L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein