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Understanding the effect of road geometry on human driving behaviour is essential for both road safety studies and traffic microsimulation. Research on this topic is still limited, mainly focusing on free-flow traffic and not adequately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-24 Fabrizio Pelella , Gaetano Zaccaria , Vincenzo Punzo , Marcello Montanino

This paper presents a novel approach to improving autonomous vehicle control in environments lacking clear road markings by integrating a diffusion-based motion predictor within an Active Inference Framework (AIF). Using a simulated parking…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Yufei Huang , Yulin Li , Andrea Matta , Mohsen Jafari

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

To help mitigate road congestion caused by the unrelenting growth of traffic demand, many transportation authorities have implemented managed lane policies, which restrict certain freeway lanes to certain types of vehicles. It was…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Matthew A. Wright , Roberto Horowitz , Alex A. Kurzhanskiy

Robust and accurate calibration of macroscopic traffic flow models such as METANET is critical for reliable prediction and effective control. While gradient-based methods are desirable for high-dimensional parameter spaces, their…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Shreyaa Raghavan , Cameron Hickert , Monica Chan , Cathy Wu

This research addresses critical autonomous vehicle control challenges arising from road roughness variation, which induces course deviations and potential loss of road contact during steering operations. We present a novel real-time road…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Edwina Lewis , Aditya Parameshwaran , Laura Redmond , Yue Wang

Microscopic traffic simulation provides a controllable, repeatable, and efficient testing environment for autonomous vehicles (AVs). To evaluate AVs' safety performance unbiasedly, the probability distributions of environment statistics in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Xintao Yan , Shuo Feng , Haowei Sun , Henry X. Liu

Recently significant progress has been made in vehicle prediction and planning algorithms for autonomous driving. However, it remains quite challenging for an autonomous vehicle to plan its trajectory in complex scenarios when it is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Xiangguo Liu , Ruochen Jiao , Yixuan Wang , Yimin Han , Bowen Zheng , Qi Zhu

Traffic simulators are widely used to study the operational efficiency of road infrastructure, but their rule-based approach limits their ability to mimic real-world driving behavior. Traffic intersections are critical components of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Yash Ranjan , Rahul Sengupta , Anand Rangarajan , Sanjay Ranka

The growing availability of large and complex datasets has increased interest in temporal stochastic processes that can capture stylized facts such as marginal skewness, non-Gaussian tails, long memory, and even non-Markovian dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Dan Leonte , Raphaël Huser , Almut E. D. Veraart

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

An accurate model of the environment and the dynamic agents acting in it offers great potential for improving motion planning. We present MILE: a Model-based Imitation LEarning approach to jointly learn a model of the world and a policy for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Anthony Hu , Gianluca Corrado , Nicolas Griffiths , Zak Murez , Corina Gurau , Hudson Yeo , Alex Kendall , Roberto Cipolla , Jamie Shotton

Human drivers produce a vast amount of data which could, in principle, be used to improve autonomous driving systems. Unfortunately, seemingly straightforward approaches for creating end-to-end driving models that map sensor data directly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Yi Xiao , Felipe Codevilla , Christopher Pal , Antonio M. Lopez

Well-calibrated traffic flow models are fundamental to understanding traffic phenomena and designing control strategies. Traditional calibration has been developed base on optimization methods. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Yu Tang , Li Jin , Kaan Ozbay

This paper presents a learning from demonstration approach to programming safe, autonomous behaviors for uncommon driving scenarios. Simulation is used to re-create a targeted driving situation, one containing a road-side hazard creating a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Priyam Parashar , Akansel Cosgun , Alireza Nakhaei , Kikuo Fujimura

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Model predictive control (MPC) has proven useful in enabling safe and optimal motion planning for autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we investigate how to achieve MPC-based motion planning when a neural state-space model represents the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Iman Askari , Ali Vaziri , Xuemin Tu , Shen Zeng , Huazhen Fang

We present a new transport-based approach to efficiently perform sequential Bayesian inference of static model parameters. The strategy is based on the extraction of conditional distribution from the joint distribution of parameters and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Paul-Baptiste Rubio , Youssef Marzouk , Matthew Parno

Autonomous shuttles (AS) are fully autonomous transit vehicles with operating characteristics distinct from conventional autonomous vehicles (AV). Developing dedicated car-following models for AS is critical to understanding their traffic…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Renan Favero , Lily Elefteriadou