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We present a parallelized differentiable traffic simulator based on the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM), a car-following framework that incorporates driver behavior as key variables. Our vehicle simulator efficiently models vehicle motion,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Sanghyun Son , Laura Zheng , Brian Clipp , Connor Greenwell , Sujin Philip , Ming C. Lin

Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Chen Tang , Jianyu Chen , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Day-to-day traffic dynamics are widely used to model flow evolution due to travelers' learning and adjustment behavior, yet empirical analysis of these models often relies on descriptive calibration with limited inferential content. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Minghui Wu , Yafeng Yin , Jerome P. Lynch , Zhichen Liu

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

This paper develops a stochastic and unifying framework to examine variability in car-following (CF) dynamics of commercial automated vehicles (AVs) and its direct relation to traffic-level dynamics. The asymmetric behavior (AB) model by…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Xinzhi Zhong , Yang Zhou , Soyoung Ahn , Danjue Chen

In this paper, we develop a mechanical system inspired microscopic traffic model to characterize the longitudinal interaction dynamics among a chain of vehicles. In particular, we extend our prior work on mass-spring-damper-clutch based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-08 Mohammad R. Hajidavalloo , Zhaojian Li , Dong Chen , Ali Louati , Shuo Feng , Wubing B. Qin

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

Accurate trajectory prediction has long been a major challenge for autonomous driving (AD). Traditional data-driven models predominantly rely on statistical correlations, often overlooking the causal relationships that govern traffic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Bonan Wang , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Guyang Yu , Jiaxun Zhang , Songning Lai , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

Calibration or parameter identification is used with computational mechanics models related to observed data of the modeled process to find model parameters such that good similarity between model prediction and observation is achieved. We…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Harald Willmann , Jonas Nitzler , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Wolfgang A. Wall

The urban intersection is a typically dynamic and complex scenario for intelligent vehicles, which exists a variety of driving behaviors and traffic participants. Accurately modelling the driver behavior at the intersection is essential for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Zirui Li , Chao Lu , Cheng Gong , Cheng Gong , Jinghang Li , Lianzhen Wei

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

Motion planning at urban intersections that accounts for the situation context, handles occlusions, and deals with measurement and prediction uncertainty is a major challenge on the way to urban automated driving. In this work, we address…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Johannes Müller , Jan Strohbeck , Martin Herrmann , Michael Buchholz

Imitation learning is a powerful approach for learning autonomous driving policy by leveraging data from expert driver demonstrations. However, driving policies trained via imitation learning that neglect the causal structure of expert…

As autonomous driving technology progresses, the need for precise trajectory prediction models becomes paramount. This paper introduces an innovative model that infuses cognitive insights into trajectory prediction, focusing on perceived…

Asymmetric damping is widely used in passive vehicle suspensions, with rebound damping often recommended to exceed compression damping by a factor of two to three. Despite its prevalence, this guideline remains largely empirical and lacks a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-08 José Geraldo Telles Ribeiro , Americo Cunha

In order to develop provably safe human-in-the-loop systems, accurate and precise models of human behavior must be developed. In the case of intelligent vehicles, one can imagine the need for predicting driver behavior to develop minimally…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-03 Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Roy Dong , S. Shankar Sastry , Ruzena Bajcsy

In this article, we propose an optimization-based integrated behavior planning and motion control scheme, which is an interpretable and adaptable urban autonomous driving solution that complies with complex traffic rules while ensuring…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Haichao Liu , Kai Chen , Yulin Li , Zhenmin Huang , Jianghua Duan , Jun Ma

Combining data-driven models that adapt online and model predictive control (MPC) has enabled effective control of nonlinear systems. However, when deployed on unstable systems, online adaptation may not be fast enough to ensure reliable…

We propose in this article an extension of the piecewise linear car-following model to multi-anticipative driving. As in the one-car-anticipative model, the stability and the stationary regimes are characterized thanks to a variational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Nadir Farhi , Habib Haj-Salem , Jean-Patrick Lebacque

The use of Agent-Based and Activity-Based modeling in transportation is rising due to the capability of addressing complex applications such as disruptive trends (e.g., remote working and automation) or the design and assessment of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Serio Agriesti , Vladimir Kuzmanovski , Jaakko Hollmén , Claudio Roncoli , Bat-hen Nahmias-Biran
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