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We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-01 Zhiyuan Liu , M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

We present experimental observations and numerical simulations of a wrinkling instability that occurs at sufficiently high strain rates in the trembling regime of vesicle dynamics in steady linear flow. Spectral and statistical analysis of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-07-11 Michael Levant , David Abreu , Udo Seifert , Victor Steinberg

We consider a model of stochastic volatility which combines features of the multiplicative model for large volatilities and of the Heston model for small volatilities. The steady-state distribution in this model is a Beta Prime and is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-15 M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

A statistical measure is given expressing relative occurrences of quantities within a given data set. Application of this measure on several real life physical data sets and some abstract distributions are shown to yield consistent results.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Alex Ely Kossovsky

A system's internal dynamics and its interaction with the environment can be determined by tracking how external perturbations affect its transition rates between states. Quantitative measurements of these rates are crucial for optimizing…

This study investigates the short-term asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility surface (IVS), with a particular focus on the at-the-money (ATM) skew and curvature, which are key determinants of the IVS shape and whose are widely…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Liexin Cheng , Xue Cheng

We consider the Stokes phenomenon for the solutions of some partial differential equations with variable coefficients in two complex variables, where initial data are holomorphic. We use the theory of (moment) summability and the theory of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Bożena Tkacz

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are given by a possibly infinite linear combination of the elements of the time extended signature of a Brownian motion. First, we show that the model is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

We examine the rate of decay to the limit of the tail dependence coefficient of a bivariate skew t distribution which always displays asymptotic tail dependence. It contains as a special case the usual bivariate symmetric t distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

In this work we investigate the origin of the parabolic relation between skewness and kurtosis often encountered in the analysis of experimental time-series. We argue that the numerical values of the coefficients of the curve may provide…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-07-30 F. Sattin , M. Agostini , R. Cavazzana , G. Serianni , P. Scarin , N. Vianello

Stochastic dividend discount models (Hurley and Johnson, 1994 and 1998, Yao, 1997) present expressions for the expected value of stock prices when future dividends evolve according to some random scheme. In this paper we try to offer a more…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-04 Arianna Agosto , Enrico Moretto

We consider an investor who seeks to maximize her expected utility derived from her terminal wealth relative to the maximum performance achieved over a fixed time horizon, and under a portfolio drawdown constraint, in a market with local…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Ankush Agarwal , Ronnie Sircar

In this paper, we present a method of estimating the volatility of a signal that displays stochastic noise (such as a risky asset traded on an open market) utilizing Linear Predictive Coding. The main purpose is to associate volatility with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Louis Mello

Recently, expectile-based measures of skewness akin to well-known quantile-based skewness measures have been introduced, and it has been shown that these measures possess quite promising properties (Eberl and Klar, 2021, 2020). However, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar

In this paper, we consider the problem of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps based on a hybrid model of stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate with regime-switching. Our modelling framework extends the Heston stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Jiling Cao , Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan , Wenjun Zhang

Stochastic volatility models based on Gaussian processes, like fractional Brownian motion, are able to reproduce important stylized facts of financial markets such as rich autocorrelation structures, persistence and roughness of sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber

We develop a general method for calculating statistical properties of the speckle pattern of coherent waves propagating in disordered media. In some aspects this method is similar to the Boltzmann-Langevin approach for the calculation of…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2011-09-12 Oded Agam , A. V. Andreev , B. Spivak

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko