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In this article we look at stochastic processes with uncertain parameters, and consider different ways in which information is obtained when carrying out observations. For example we focus on the case of a the random evolution of a traded…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Will Hicks

The concepts of scale invariance, self-similarity and scaling have been fruitfully applied to the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. After a brief review of the properties of stable Levy distributions and their applications…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rama Cont , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We investigate continuous diffusions on star graphs with sticky behavior at the vertex. These are Markov processes with continuous paths having a positive occupation time at the vertex. We characterize sticky diffusions as time-changed…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Jules Berry , Fausto Colantoni

It is well-known that the Black-Scholes formula has been derived under the assumption of constant volatility in stocks. In spite of evidence that this parameter is not constant, this formula is widely used by financial markets. This paper…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-06 Kais Hamza , Fima Klebaner , Olivia Mah

This paper investigates short-term behaviors of implied volatility of derivatives written on indexes in equity markets when the index processes are constructed by using a ranking procedure. Even in simple market settings where stock prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Huy N. Chau , Duy Nguyen , Thai Nguyen

Rough volatility models are continuous time stochastic volatility models where the volatility process is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter smaller than half, and have attracted much attention since a seminal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Masaaki Fukasawa , Tetsuya Takabatake , Rebecca Westphal

We study the price dynamics of stocks traded in a financial market by considering the statistical properties both of a single time series and of an ensemble of stocks traded simultaneously. We use the $n$ stocks traded in the New York Stock…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

The metric-adjusted skew information establishes a connection between the geometrical formulation of quantum statistics and the measures of quantum information. We study uncertainty relations in product and summation forms of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-04 Xiaoyu Ma , Qing-Hua Zhang , Shao-Ming Fei

In this paper, we study the relationship between the short-end of the local and the implied volatility surfaces. Our results, based on Malliavin calculus techniques, recover the recent $\frac{1}{H+3/2}$ rule (where $H$ denotes the Hurst…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-18 Elisa Alòs , David García-Lorite , Makar Pravosud

We propose a new skewness test statistic for normality based on the Pearson measure of skewness. We obtain asymptotic first four moments of the null distribution for this statistic by using a computer algebra system and its normalizing…

Computation · Statistics 2012-02-24 Shigekazu Nakagawa , Hiroki Hashiguchi , Naoto Niki

High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

We show that in a large class of stochastic volatility models with additional skew-functions (local-stochastic volatility models) the tails of the cumulative distribution of the log-returns behave as exp(-c|y|), where c is a positive…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-21 Vlad Bally , Stefano De Marco

Market liquidity plays a vital role in the field of market micro-structure, because it is the vigor of the financial market. This paper uses a variable called convexity to measure the potential liquidity provided by order-book. Based on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-12 Kenan Qiao

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

Algorithmic stability is a central concept in statistics and learning theory that measures how sensitive an algorithm's output is to small changes in the training data. Stability plays a crucial role in understanding generalization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Abhinav Chakraborty , Yuetian Luo , Rina Foygel Barber

We present a new simple method of estimating stochastic volatility and its volatility. This method is applicable to both cross-sectional and time-series data. Moreover, this method does not require volatility data series.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-04 Moawia Alghalith

This paper offers a new class of models of the term structure of interest rates. We allow each instantaneous forward rate to be driven by a different stochastic shock, constrained in such a way as to keep the forward rate curve continuous.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 P. Santa-Clara , D. Sornette

Time variation and persistence are crucial properties of volatility that are often studied separately in energy volatility forecasting models. Here, we propose a novel approach that allows shocks with heterogeneous persistence to vary…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Classical Stokes' drift is the small time-averaged drift velocity of suspended non-diffusing particles in a fluid due to the presence of a wave. We consider the effect of adding diffusion to the motion of the particles, and show in…

Classical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kalvis M. Jansons , G. D. Lythe