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Irregular errors such as heteroscedasticity and nonnormality remain major challenges in linear modeling. These issues often lead to biased inference and unreliable measures of uncertainty. Classical remedies, such as robust standard errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Elsayed Elamir

We consider the problem of estimating the counterfactual joint distribution of multiple quantities of interests (e.g., outcomes) in a multivariate causal model extended from the classical difference-in-difference design. Existing methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 Thong Pham , Shohei Shimizu , Hideitsu Hino , Tam Le

Counterfactual explanations (CFEs) are an emerging technique under the umbrella of interpretability of machine learning (ML) models. They provide ``what if'' feedback of the form ``if an input datapoint were $x'$ instead of $x$, then an ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Sahil Verma , John Dickerson , Keegan Hines

Recently, the Network Representation Learning (NRL) techniques, which represent graph structure via low-dimension vectors to support social-oriented application, have attracted wide attention. Though large efforts have been made, they may…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Hao Wang , Tong Xu , Qi Liu , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen , Dongfang Du , Han Wu , Wen Su

We propose ULFS-KDPE, a kernel debiased plug-in estimator based on the universal least favorable submodel, for estimating pathwise differentiable parameters in nonparametric models. The method constructs a data-adaptive debiasing flow in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Haiyi Chen , Yang Liu , Ivana Malenica

Covariate-specific treatment effects (CSTEs) represent heterogeneous treatment effects across subpopulations defined by certain selected covariates. In this article, we consider marginal structural models where CSTEs are linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Peng Wu , Zhiqiang Tan , Wenjie Hu , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Conditional expectation \mathbb{E}(Y \mid X) often fails to capture the complexity of multimodal conditional distributions \mathcal{L}(Y \mid X). To address this, we propose using n-point conditional quantizations--functional mappings of X…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Blaise Delattre , Sylvain Delattre , Alexandre Vérine , Alexandre Allauzen

Accurate click-through rate (CTR) prediction is vital for online advertising and recommendation systems. Recent deep learning advancements have improved the ability to capture feature interactions and understand user interests. However,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Kefan Wang , Hao Wang , Kenan Song , Wei Guo , Kai Cheng , Zhi Li , Yong Liu , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

Model monitoring is a critical component of the machine learning lifecycle, safeguarding against undetected drops in the model's performance after deployment. Traditionally, performance monitoring has required access to ground truth labels,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Juhani Kivimäki , Jakub Białek , Wojtek Kuberski , Jukka K. Nurminen

We propose a new class of estimators of the multivariate response linear regression coefficient matrix that exploits the assumption that the response and predictors have a joint multivariate Normal distribution. This allows us to indirectly…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-17 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

In this paper, we introduce a new distribution regression model for probability distributions. This model is based on a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) regression framework, where universal kernels are built using Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-07 Thi Thien Trang Bui , J-M Loubes , Laurent Risser , Patricia Balaresque

Adaptive experiments improve efficiency by adjusting treatment assignments based on past outcomes, but this adaptivity breaks the i.i.d.\ assumptions that underpin classical asymptotics. At the same time, many questions of interest are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Houssam Zenati , Bariscan Bozkurt , Arthur Gretton

We study a counterfactual mean-variance optimization, where the mean and variance are defined as functionals of counterfactual distributions. The optimization problem defines the optimal resource allocation under various constraints in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Kwangho Kim , Alan Mishler , José R. Zubizarreta

The estimation of mutual information (MI) or conditional mutual information (CMI) from a set of samples is a long-standing problem. A recent line of work in this area has leveraged the approximation power of artificial neural networks and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Sina Molavipour , Germán Bassi , Mikael Skoglund

Multiscale Models are known to be successful in uncovering and analyzing the structures in data at different resolutions. In the current work we propose a feature driven Reproducing Kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), for which the associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Prashant Shekhar , Abani Patra

We propose an approach to better inform treatment decisions at an individual level by adapting recent advances in average treatment effect estimation to conditional average treatment effect estimation. Our work is based on doubly robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Aaron Fisher , Virginia Fisher

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

Recent methods for learning unsupervised visual representations, dubbed contrastive learning, optimize the noise-contrastive estimation (NCE) bound on mutual information between two views of an image. NCE uses randomly sampled negative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Mike Wu , Milan Mosse , Chengxu Zhuang , Daniel Yamins , Noah Goodman

In statistical learning, identifying underlying structures of true target functions based on observed data plays a crucial role to facilitate subsequent modeling and analysis. Unlike most of those existing methods that focus on some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Xin He , Yeheng Ge , Xingdong Feng