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We study the problem of estimating the effect function for a continuous treatment, which maps each treatment value to a population-averaged outcome. A central challenge in this setting is confounding: treatment assignment often depends on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Seok-Jin Kim , Kaizheng Wang

We propose a novel nonparametric approach for linking covariates to Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMCs) using the mathematical framework of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS). CTMCs provide a robust framework for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Yuchen Han , Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra

Multivariate conformal prediction requires nonconformity scores that compress residual vectors into scalars while preserving certain implicit geometric structure of the residual distribution. We introduce a Multivariate Kernel Score (MKS)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Louis Meyer , Wenkai Xu

Reliable probabilities are critical in high-risk applications, yet common calibration criteria (confidence, class-wise) are only necessary for full distributional calibration, and post-hoc methods often lack distribution-free guarantees. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-17 Daniil Kazantsev , Mohsen Guizani , Eric Moulines , Maxim Panov , Nikita Kotelevskii

Network Embeddings (NEs) map the nodes of a given network into $d$-dimensional Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$. Ideally, this mapping is such that `similar' nodes are mapped onto nearby points, such that the NE can be used for purposes such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-17 Bo Kang , Jefrey Lijffijt , Tijl De Bie

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) promote interpretability by grounding predictions in human-understandable concepts. However, existing CBMs typically fix their task predictor to a single linear or Boolean expression, limiting both…

Conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) allow us to understand the effect heterogeneity across a large population of individuals. However, typical CATE learners assume all confounding variables are measured in order for the CATE to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Yao Zhang , Jeroen Berrevoets , Mihaela van der Schaar

Conditional contrastive learning frameworks consider the conditional sampling procedure that constructs positive or negative data pairs conditioned on specific variables. Fair contrastive learning constructs negative pairs, for example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Tianqin Li , Martin Q. Ma , Han Zhao , Kun Zhang , Louis-Philippe Morency , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Efficient and scalable non-parametric or semi-parametric regression analysis and density estimation are of crucial importance to the fields of statistics and machine learning. However, available methods are limited in their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Zeyu Ding , Katja Ickstadt , Nadja Klein , Alexander Munteanu , Simon Omlor

We introduce MCCE: Monte Carlo sampling of valid and realistic Counterfactual Explanations for tabular data, a novel counterfactual explanation method that generates on-manifold, actionable and valid counterfactuals by modeling the joint…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-26 Annabelle Redelmeier , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas , Anders Løland

We propose a method for nonparametric density estimation that exhibits robustness to contamination of the training sample. This method achieves robustness by combining a traditional kernel density estimator (KDE) with ideas from classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-09-07 JooSeuk Kim , Clayton D. Scott

Learning semantically meaningful sentence embeddings is an open problem in natural language processing. In this work, we propose a sentence embedding learning approach that exploits both visual and textual information via a multimodal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Miaoran Zhang , Marius Mosbach , David Ifeoluwa Adelani , Michael A. Hedderich , Dietrich Klakow

We propose a set of kernel-based tools to evaluate the designs and tune the hyperparameters of conditional sequence models, with a focus on problems in computational biology. The backbone of our tools is a new measure of discrepancy between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Pierre Glaser , Steffanie Paul , Alissa M. Hummer , Charlotte M. Deane , Debora S. Marks , Alan N. Amin

We develop a spectral approach for identifying and estimating average counterfactual outcomes under a low-rank factor model with short panel data and general outcome missingness patterns. Applications include event studies and studies of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Lihua Lei , Brad Ross

Multiplicative error models (MEMs) are commonly used for real-valued time series, but they cannot be applied to discrete-valued count time series as the involved multiplication would not preserve the integer nature of the data. Thus, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Christian H. Weiß , Fukang Zhu

Multi-instance data, in which each object (bag) contains a collection of instances, are widespread in machine learning, computer vision, bioinformatics, signal processing, and social sciences. We present a maximum entropy (ME) framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Behrouz Behmardi , Forrest Briggs , Xiaoli Z. Fern , Raviv Raich

This paper extends a conventional, general framework for online adaptive estimation problems for systems governed by unknown nonlinear ordinary differential equations. The central feature of the theory introduced in this paper represents…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Parag Bobade , Suprotim Majumdar , Savio Pereira , Andrew J. Kurdila , John B. Ferris

This article presents a general framework for the transport of probability measures towards minimum divergence generative modeling and sampling using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHSs),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-14 Biraj Pandey , Bamdad Hosseini , Pau Batlle , Houman Owhadi

Counterfactual explanations can be obtained by identifying the smallest change made to a feature vector to qualitatively influence a prediction; for example, from 'loan rejected' to 'awarded' or from 'high risk of cardiovascular disease' to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Martin Pawelczyk , Johannes Haug , Klaus Broelemann , Gjergji Kasneci

Matrix approximations are a key element in large-scale algebraic machine learning approaches. The recently proposed method MEKA (Si et al., 2014) effectively employs two common assumptions in Hilbert spaces: the low-rank property of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Simon Heilig , Maximilian Münch , Frank-Michael Schleif