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With the aid of mathematical modelling (basic tool is the random walk with absorbing barriers) we derive subsequent formulas to study the effect of different versions of possible rules. For different rules the probability of winning a game,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-30 G. Szigeti

The branching factor of a game is the average number of new states reachable from a given state. It is a widely used metric in AI research on board games, but less often computed or discussed for videogames. This paper provides estimates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Mark J. Nelson

We propose utilizing match-level suspense and surprise - which capture the entertainment utility created by competitive balance and outcome uncertainty for sports spectators - as alternative policy targets for league organizers and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-27 Raphael Flepp , Tim Pawlowski , Travis Richardson

We develop a new method for stochastic optimization using the Bayesian statistics approach. More precisely, we optimize parameters of chess engines as those data are available to us, but the method should apply to all situations where we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Ivan Ivec , Ivana Vojnović

We give elementary examples within a framework for studying decisions under uncertainty where probabilities are only roughly known. The framework, in gambling terms, is that the size of a bet is proportional to the gambler's perceived…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 David J. Aldous , F. Thomas Bruss

Game balancing is an important part of the (computer) game design process, in which designers adapt a game prototype so that the resulting gameplay is as entertaining as possible. In industry, the evaluation of a game is often based on…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Vanessa Volz , Günter Rudolph , Boris Naujoks

In this paper we report the existence of long-range memory in the opening moves of a chronologically ordered set of chess games using an extensive chess database. We used two mapping rules to build discrete time series and analyzed them…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-10-08 Ana L. Schaigorodsky , Juan I. Perotti , Orlando V. Billoni

We study the relationship between performance and practice by analyzing the activity of many players of a casual online game. We find significant heterogeneity in the improvement of player performance, given by score, and address this by…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-03-16 Tushar Agarwal , Keith A. Burghardt , Kristina Lerman

This paper studies the equilibrium properties of the ``obvious strategy profile'' in large finite-player games. Each player in such a strategy profile simply adopts a randomized strategy as she would have used in a symmetric equilibrium of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-20 Enxian Chen Bin Wu Hanping Xu

A checkers-like model game with a simplified set of rules is studied through extensive simulations of agents with different expertise and strategies. The introduction of complementary strategies, in a quite general way, provides a tool to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-26 J. Quetzalcóatl Toledo-Marín , Rogelio Díaz-Méndez , Marcelo del Castillo Mussot

We consider a Gaussian interference channel with independent direct and cross link channel gains, each of which is independent and identically distributed across time. Each transmitter-receiver user pair aims to maximize its long-term…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-01 Krishna Chaitanya A , Utpal Mukherji , Vinod Sharma

Complexity develops via the incorporation of innovative properties. Chess is one of the most complex strategy games, where expert contenders exercise decision making by imitating old games or introducing innovations. In this work, we study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-12-19 Juan I. Perotti , Hang-Hyun Jo , Ana L. Schaigorodsky , Orlando V. Billoni

Statistical tasks such as density estimation and approximate Bayesian inference often involve densities with unknown normalising constants. Score-based methods, including score matching, are popular techniques as they are free of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-22 Li K. Wenliang , Heishiro Kanagawa

This study applies complexity sciences to analyze the game of Padel. Data from 18 professional matches were collected, and the probability distributions of the total number of shots and the probability distribution of rallies' duration were…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

Understanding the properties of games played under computational constraints remains challenging. For example, how do we expect rational (but computationally bounded) players to play games with a prohibitively large number of states, such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Thomas Orton

Algorithms for equilibrium computation generally make no attempt to ensure that the computed strategies are understandable by humans. For instance the strategies for the strongest poker agents are represented as massive binary files. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Sam Ganzfried , Farzana Yusuf

Navigating dilemmas involving conflicting values is challenging even for humans in high-stakes domains, let alone for AI, yet prior work has been limited to everyday scenarios. To close this gap, we introduce CLASH (Character…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Ayoung Lee , Ryan Sungmo Kwon , Peter Railton , Lu Wang

Large-scale competitive platforms are interacting multi-agent systems in which latent skills drift over time and pairwise interactions are shaped by matchmaking. We study a controlled rating dynamics in the mean-field limit and derive a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Wataru Nozawa

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison