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This work focuses on the setting of dynamic regret in the context of online learning with full information. In particular, we analyze regret bounds with respect to the temporal variability of the loss functions. By assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Nicolò Campolongo , Francesco Orabona

Trustworthy decision making in networked, dynamic environments calls for innovative uncertainty quantification substrates in predictive models for graph time series. Existing conformal prediction (CP) methods have been applied separately to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sonakshi Dua , Gonzalo Mateos , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular method for uncertainty quantification that converts a pretrained model's point prediction into a prediction set, with the set size reflecting the model's confidence. Although existing CP methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Shuqi Liu , Jianguo Huang , Luke Ong

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used framework for optimizing expensive black-box functions, commonly based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models. Its effectiveness relies on uncertainty quantification that is both sharp…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Teemu Turpeinen , Samuel Kaski

We consider a generalization of the celebrated Online Convex Optimization (OCO) framework with adversarial online constraints. In this problem, an online learner interacts with an adversary sequentially over multiple rounds. At the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Subhamon Supantha , Abhishek Sinha

We study the problem of minimizing swap regret in structured normal-form games. Players have a very large (potentially infinite) number of pure actions, but each action has an embedding into $d$-dimensional space and payoffs are given by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Maxwell Fishelson , Robert Kleinberg , Princewill Okoroafor , Renato Paes Leme , Jon Schneider , Yifeng Teng

Machine unlearning seeks to remove the influence of particular data or class from trained models to meet privacy, legal, or ethical requirements. Existing unlearning methods tend to forget shallowly: phenomenon of an unlearned model pretend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Jaeheun Jung , Bosung Jung , Suhyun Bae , Donghun Lee

Conformal prediction is a learning framework controlling prediction coverage of prediction sets, which can be built on any learning algorithm for point prediction. This work proposes a learning framework named conformal loss-controlling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Di Wang , Ping Wang , Zhong Ji , Xiaojun Yang , Hongyue Li

An important challenge in the online convex optimization (OCO) setting is to incorporate generalized inequalities and time-varying constraints. The inclusion of constraints in OCO widens the applicability of such algorithms to dynamic and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Jean-Luc Lupien , Iman Shames , Antoine Lesage-Landry

We address the problem of simultaneously learning and control in an online receding horizon control setting. We consider the control of an unknown linear dynamical system with general cost functions and affine constraints on the control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-02 Deepan Muthirayan , Jianjun Yuan , Pramod P. Khargonekar

In this paper, we study the dynamic regret of online linear quadratic regulator (LQR) control with time-varying cost functions and disturbances. We consider the case where a finite look-ahead window of cost functions and disturbances is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Runyu Zhang , Yingying Li , Na Li

We consider the fundamental problem of prediction with expert advice where the experts are "optimizable": there is a black-box optimization oracle that can be used to compute, in constant time, the leading expert in retrospect at any point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-28 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren

In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full conditional coverage guarantees. A wealth of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Hamed Hassani

In this paper, we propose an online learning-based predictive control (LPC) approach designed for nonlinear systems that lack explicit system dynamics. Unlike traditional model predictive control (MPC) algorithms that rely on known system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Yuanqing Zhang , Huanshui Zhang

The trade-off between regret and computational cost is a fundamental problem for online kernel regression, and previous algorithms worked on the trade-off can not keep optimal regret bounds at a sublinear computational complexity. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Junfan Li , Shizhong Liao

We develop a new framework for designing online policies given access to an oracle providing statistical information about an offline benchmark. Having access to such prediction oracles enables simple and natural Bayesian selection…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Alberto Vera , Siddhartha Banerjee

Uncertainty quantification in prediction presents a compelling challenge with vast applications across various domains, including biomedical science, economics, and weather forecasting. There exists a wide array of methods for constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Jianqing Fan , Jiawei Ge , Debarghya Mukherjee

In learning theory, the performance of an online policy is commonly measured in terms of the static regret metric, which compares the cumulative loss of an online policy to that of an optimal benchmark in hindsight. In the definition of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Ativ Joshi , Abhishek Sinha

We study online prediction where regret of the algorithm is measured against a benchmark defined via evolving constraints. This framework captures online prediction on graphs, as well as other prediction problems with combinatorial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Existing approaches to online convex optimization (OCO) make sequential one-slot-ahead decisions, which lead to (possibly adversarial) losses that drive subsequent decision iterates. Their performance is evaluated by the so-called regret…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Tianyi Chen , Qing Ling , Georgios B. Giannakis