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Time series forecasting at scale presents significant challenges for modern prediction systems, particularly when dealing with large sets of synchronized series, such as in a global payment network. In such systems, three key challenges…

Hyperparameter optimisation is a crucial process in searching the optimal machine learning model. The efficiency of finding the optimal hyperparameter settings has been a big concern in recent researches since the optimisation process could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Yuxi Huan , Fan Wu , Michail Basios , Leslie Kanthan , Lingbo Li , Baowen Xu

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across a wide range of domains. While presenting notable progress for the Transformer architecture, iTransformer still lags behind the latest MLP-based models. We attribute this performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Zhiwei Zhang , Xinyi Du , Xuanchi Guo , Weihao Wang , Wenjuan Han

Transformer-based architectures dominate time series modeling by enabling global attention over all timestamps, yet their rigid 'one-size-fits-all' context aggregation fails to address two critical challenges in real-world data: (1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Xiaowen Ma , Shuning Ge , Fan Yang , Xiangyu Li , Yun Chen , Mengting Ma , Wei Zhang , Zhipeng Liu

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Transformer-based architectures achieved breakthrough performance in natural language processing and computer vision, yet they remain inferior to simpler linear baselines in multivariate long-term forecasting. To better understand this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Romain Ilbert , Ambroise Odonnat , Vasilii Feofanov , Aladin Virmaux , Giuseppe Paolo , Themis Palpanas , Ievgen Redko

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Multi-dimensional time series data, such as matrix and tensor-variate time series, are increasingly prevalent in fields such as economics, finance, and climate science. Traditional Transformer models, though adept with sequential data, do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Linghang Kong , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Yuefeng Han

Time series forecasting is a critical and practical problem in many real-world applications, especially for industrial scenarios, where load forecasting underpins the intelligent operation of modern systems like clouds, power grids and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Shaoyuan Huang , Tiancheng Zhang , Zhongtian Zhang , Xiaofei Wang , Lanjun Wang , Xin Wang

Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang

Time series data is ubiquitous in research as well as in a wide variety of industrial applications. Effectively analyzing the available historical data and providing insights into the far future allows us to make effective decisions. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Kiran Madhusudhanan , Johannes Burchert , Nghia Duong-Trung , Stefan Born , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital in fields like weather, energy, and finance. However, despite deep learning advancements, traditional Transformer-based models often diminish the effect of crucial inter-variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Yanhong Li , David C. Anastasiu

Long-term weather forecasting is critical for socioeconomic planning and disaster preparedness. While recent approaches employ finetuning to extend prediction horizons, they remain constrained by the issues of catastrophic forgetting, error…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Fenghua Ling , Lei Bai

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Despite recent strides made by AI in image processing, the issue of mixed exposure, pivotal in many real-world scenarios like surveillance and photography, remains inadequately addressed. Traditional image enhancement techniques and current…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Eashan Adhikarla , Kai Zhang , Rosaura G. VidalMata , Manjushree Aithal , Nikhil Ambha Madhusudhana , John Nicholson , Lichao Sun , Brian D. Davison

Training and inference efficiency of deep neural networks highly rely on the performance of tensor operators on hardware platforms. Manually optimizing tensor operators has limitations in terms of supporting new operators or hardware…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Xiaotian Gao , Cui Wei , Lintao Zhang , Mao Yang

Computationally expensive and time-consuming Bayesian atmospheric retrievals pose a significant bottleneck for the rapid analysis of high-quality exoplanetary spectra from present and next generation space telescopes, such as JWST and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-30 L. Pagliaro , T. Zingales , G. Piotto , I. Giovannini , G. Mantovan

Generating time series data is a promising approach to address data deficiency problems. However, it is also challenging due to the complex temporal properties of time series data, including local correlations as well as global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Ang Li , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Transformers have been actively studied for time-series forecasting in recent years. While often showing promising results in various scenarios, traditional Transformers are not designed to fully exploit the characteristics of time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain
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