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Causal DAGs(Directed Acyclic Graphs) are usually considered in a 2D plane. Edges indicate causal effects' directions and imply their corresponding time-passings. Due to the natural restriction of statistical models, effect estimation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Jia Li , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Steinbach , Vipin Kumar

Human conflict is often attributed to threats against material conditions and symbolic values, yet it remains unclear how they interact and which dominates. Progress is limited by weak causal control, ethical constraints, and scarce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Suhaib Abdurahman , Farzan Karimi-Malekabadi , Chenxiao Yu , Nour S. Kteily , Morteza Dehghani

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Causal discovery is the subfield of causal inference concerned with estimating the structure of cause-and-effect relationships in a system of interrelated variables, as opposed to quantifying the strength or describing the form of causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Rebecca F. Supple , Hannah Worthington , Ben Swallow

Structural causal models are the basic modelling unit in Pearl's causal theory; in principle they allow us to solve counterfactuals, which are at the top rung of the ladder of causation. But they often contain latent variables that limit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

Graphical interaction models have become an important tool for analysing multivariate time series. In these models, the interrelationships among the components of a time series are described by undirected graphs in which the vertices depict…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Michael Eichler

Counterfactual explanations are increasingly proposed as interpretable mechanisms to achieve algorithmic recourse. However, current counterfactual techniques for time series classification are predominantly designed with static data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Emmanuel C. Chukwu , Rianne M. Schouten , Monique Tabak , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Dynamic graph learning methods have recently emerged as powerful tools for modelling relational data evolving through time. However, despite extensive benchmarking efforts, it remains unclear whether current Temporal Graph Neural Networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Alireza Dizaji , Benedict Aaron Tjandra , Mehrab Hamidi , Shenyang Huang , Guillaume Rabusseau

Being able to reason about how one's behaviour can affect the behaviour of others is a core skill required of intelligent driving agents. Despite this, the state of the art struggles to meet the need of agents to discover causal links…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Rhys Howard , Lars Kunze

This document aims to familiarize readers with temporal graph learning (TGL) through a concept-first approach. We have systematically presented vital concepts essential for understanding the workings of a TGL framework. In addition to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Aniq Ur Rahman , Justin P. Coon

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) are probabilistic generative frameworks. They model discrete event sequences localized in continuous time. Generally, real-life events reveal descriptive information, known as marks. Marked TPPs model time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Govind Waghmare , Ankur Debnath , Siddhartha Asthana , Aakarsh Malhotra

Temporal Knowledge Graph (TKG) is an efficient method for describing the dynamic development of facts along a timeline. Most research on TKG reasoning (TKGR) focuses on modelling the repetition of global facts and designing patterns of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Yuehang Si , Zefan Zeng , Jincai Huang , Qing Cheng

Identifying the causal structure of systems with multiple dynamic elements is critical to several scientific disciplines. The conventional approach is to conduct statistical tests of causality, for example with Granger Causality, between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Jacek P. Dmochowski

Counterfactual statements, which describe events that did not or cannot take place, are beneficial to numerous NLP applications. Hence, we consider the problem of counterfactual detection (CFD) and seek to enhance the CFD models. Previous…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Thong Nguyen , Truc-My Nguyen

Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise in simulating human-like social behaviors. Social graphs provide high-quality supervision signals that encode both local interactions and global network structure, yet they remain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Jiarui Ji , Zehua Zhang , Zhewei Wei , Bin Tong , Guan Wang , Bo Zheng

Deep learning based approaches have been utilized to model and generate graphs subjected to different distributions recently. However, they are typically unsupervised learning based and unconditioned generative models or simply conditioned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Shanchao Yang , Jing Liu , Kai Wu , Mingming Li

Causal discovery aims to recover graphs that represent causal relations among given variables from observations, and new methods are constantly being proposed. Increasingly, the community raises questions about how much progress is made,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Zhufeng Li , Niki Kilbertus

We introduce a novel non-parametric methodology to test for the dynamical time evolution of the lag-lead structure between two arbitrary time series. The method consists in constructing a distance matrix based on the matching of all sample…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , W. -X. Zhou

MITL is a temporal logic that facilitates the verification of real-time systems by expressing the critical timing constraints placed on these systems. MITL specifications can be checked against system models expressed as networks of timed…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Bernd Finkbeiner , Felix Jahn , Julian Siber

Identifying causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge across the computational sciences. Existing functional connectivity methods capture correlations but not causation. While addressing directionality,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-10 Rahul Biswas , SuryaNarayana Sripada , Somabha Mukherjee , Reza Abbasi-Asl