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A model needs to make verifiable predictions to have any scientific value. In opinion dynamics, the study of how individuals exchange opinions with one another, there are many theoretical models which attempt to model opinion exchange, one…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-11 Johnathan A. Adams , Gentry White , Robyn P. Araujo

Models of opinion dynamics describe how opinions are shaped in various environments. While these models are able to replicate general opinion distributions observed in real-world scenarios, their capacity to align with data at the user…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Antoine Vendeville

Opinion dynamics, the study of how individual beliefs and collective public opinion evolve, is a fertile domain for applying statistical physics to complex social phenomena. Like physical systems, societies exhibit macroscopic regularities…

Opinion evolution and judgment revision are mediated through social influence. Based on a large crowdsourced in vitro experiment (n=861), it is shown how a consensus model can be used to predict opinion evolution in online collective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Corentin Vande Kerckhove , Samuel Martin , Pascal Gend , Peter J. Rentfrow , Julien M. Hendrickx , Vincent D. Blondel

Opinion dynamics concerns social processes through which populations or groups of individuals agree or disagree on specific issues. As such, modelling opinion dynamics represents an important research area that has been progressively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-06 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

Opinions are an integral part of how we perceive the world and each other. They shape collective action, playing a role in democratic processes, the evolution of norms, and cultural change. For decades, researchers in the social and natural…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Antonio F. Peralta , János Kertész , Gerardo Iñiguez

Users online tend to join polarized groups of like-minded peers around shared narratives, forming echo chambers. The echo chamber effect and opinion polarization may be driven by several factors including human biases in information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Carlo Michele Valensise , Matteo Cinelli , Walter Quattrociocchi

While the number and variety of models to explain opinion exchange dynamics is huge, attempts to justify the model results using empirical data are relatively rare. As linking to real data is essential for establishing model credibility,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-18 Sven Banisch , Tanya Araújo

The empirical validation of models remains one of the most important challenges in opinion dynamics. In this contribution, we report on recent developments on combining data from survey experiments with computational models of opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-24 Sven Banisch , Hawal Shamon

We consider two-opinion voter models on dense dynamic random graphs. Our goal is to understand and describe the occurrence of consensus versus polarisation over long periods of time. The former means that all vertices have the same opinion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

In recent years, opinion dynamics has received an increasing attention, and various models have been introduced and evaluated mainly by simulation. In this study, we introduce and study a dynamical model inspired by the so-called `bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Sergei Yu. Pilyugin , M. C. Campi

Social media platforms have played a key role in weaponizing the polarization of social, political, and democratic processes. This is, mainly, because they are a medium for opinion formation. Opinion dynamic models are a tool for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Carlos Olarte , Carlos Ramírez , Camilo Rocha , Frank Valencia

Recently, social phenomena have received a lot of attention not only from social scientists, but also from physicists, mathematicians and computer scientists, in the emerging interdisciplinary field of complex system science. Opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-23 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

We introduce multi-population opinion dynamics models linked to the bounded confidence model, aiming to explore how interactions between individuals contribute to the emergence of consensus, polarization, or fragmentation. Existing models…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Tigran Bakaryan , Yuliang Gu , Naira Hovakimyan , Tarek Abdelzaher , Christian Lebiere

We perform a validation analysis on the multipolar model of opinion dynamics. A general methodology for using the model on datasets of two correlated variables is proposed and tested using data on the relationship between COVID-19…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-16 Luka Baković , David Ohlin , Emma Tegling

The dynamics of political opinion are a critical component of modern society with large-scale implications for the evolution of intra- and international political discourse and policy. Here we utilize recent high-resolution survey data to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-15 David Sabin-Miller , Christopher Harding

Usually, opinion formation models assume that individuals have an opinion about a given topic which can change due to interactions with others. However, individuals can have different opinions in different topics and therefore n-dimensional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-22 Lucia Pedraza , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Nicolas Saintier , Pablo Balenzuela

In this age of Facebook, Instagram and Twitter, there is rapidly growing interest in understanding network-enabled opinion dynamics in large groups of autonomous agents. The phenomena of opinion polarization, the spread of propaganda and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-08 Hossein Noorazar , Kevin R. Vixie , Arghavan Talebanpour , Yunfeng Hu

We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto

Social interactions influence people's opinions. In some situations, these interactions eventually yield a consensus opinion; in others, they can lead to opinion fragmentation and the formation of different opinion groups in the form of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-01 Lasse Mohr , Poul G. Hjorth , Mason A. Porter
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