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Detecting early warning indicators for abrupt dynamical transitions in complex systems or high-dimensional observation data is essential in many real-world applications, such as brain diseases, natural disasters, and engineering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Wang Xiao , Jinqiao Duan

Critical transitions and tipping phenomena between two meta-stable states in stochastic dynamical systems are a significant scientific issue. In this work, we expand the methodology of identifying the most probable transition pathway…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Peng Zhang , Ting Gao , Jin Guo , Jinqiao Duan

Epilepsy is a common neurological disorder characterized by abrupt seizures. Although seizures may appear random, they are often preceded by early warning signs in neural signals, notably, critical slowing down, a phenomenon in which the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Yuzhen Qin , Marcel van Gerven

Many real world systems are at risk of undergoing critical transitions, leading to sudden qualitative and sometimes irreversible regime shifts. The development of early warning signals is recognized as a major challenge. Recent progress…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-02-28 Christian Kuehn , Gerd Zschaler , Thilo Gross

There have been significant recent advances in our understanding of the potential use and limitations of early-warning signs for predicting drastic changes, so called critical transitions or tipping points, in dynamical systems. A focus of…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2015-03-06 Karna Gowda , Christian Kuehn

Multi-channel EEG signals are commonly used for the diagnosis and assessment of diseases such as epilepsy. Currently, various EEG diagnostic algorithms based on deep learning have been developed. However, most research efforts focus solely…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Zekun Jiang , Wei Dai , Qu Wei , Ziyuan Qin , Kang Li , Le Zhang

Stemming from physics and later applied to other fields such as ecology, the theory of critical transitions suggests that some regime shifts are preceded by statistical early warning signals. Reddit's r/place experiment, a large-scale…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-23 Guillaume Falmagne , Anna B. Stephenson , Simon A. Levin

Early warning for epilepsy patients is crucial for their safety and well-being, in particular to prevent or minimize the severity of seizures. Through the patients' EEG data, we propose a meta learning framework to improve the prediction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Peng Zhang , Ting Gao , Jin Guo , Jinqiao Duan , Sergey Nikolenko

Recent work has highlighted the utility of methods for early warning signal detection in dynamic systems approaching critical tipping thresholds. Often these tipping points resemble local bifurcations, whose low dimensional dynamics can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-08 Daniel Dylewsky , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Although recent studies have proposed seizure detection algorithms with good sensitivity performance, there is a remained challenge that they were hard to achieve significantly short detection latency in real-time scenarios. In this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-29 Yankun Xu , Jie Yang , Wenjie Ming , Shuang Wang , Mohamad Sawan

Early prediction of patients at risk of clinical deterioration can help physicians intervene and alter their clinical course towards better outcomes. In addition to the accuracy requirement, early warning systems must make the predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Ibrahim Hammoud , Prateek Prasanna , IV Ramakrishnan , Adam Singer , Mark Henry , Henry Thode

This chapter first presents a rather personal view of some different aspects of predictability, going in crescendo from simple linear systems to high-dimensional nonlinear systems with stochastic forcing, which exhibit emergent properties…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-08-26 Didier Sornette , Ivan Osorio

The emergence of transition phenomena between metastable states induced by noise plays a fundamental role in a broad range of nonlinear systems. The computation of the most probable paths is a key issue to understand the mechanism of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xianbin Liu

With the advancement in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques, researchers are striving towards employing these techniques for advancing clinical practice. One of the key objectives in healthcare is the early…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Khansa Rasheed , Adnan Qayyum , Junaid Qadir , Shobi Sivathamboo , Patrick Kwan , Levin Kuhlmann , Terence O'Brien , Adeel Razi

The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Daniel Dylewsky , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Thomas M. Bury , Christopher G. Fletcher , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Epilepsy is a neurological brain disorder which life threatening and gives rise to recurrent seizures that are unprovoked. It occurs due to the abnormal chemical changes in our brain. Over the course of many years, studies have been…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-13 Muhammad Shoaib Farooq , Aimen Zulfiqar , Shamyla Riaz

Objective: Epilepsy is one of the most prevalent neurological diseases among humans and can lead to severe brain injuries, strokes, and brain tumors. Early detection of seizures can help to mitigate injuries, and can be used to aid the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Theekshana Dissanayake , Tharindu Fernando , Simon Denman , Sridha Sridharan , Clinton Fookes

This paper introduces an innovative framework designed for progressive (granular in time to onset) prediction of seizures through the utilization of a Deep Learning (DL) methodology based on non-invasive multi-modal sensor networks.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Ali Saeizadeh , Douglas Schonholtz , Joseph S. Neimat , Pedram Johari , Tommaso Melodia

Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy (SUDEP) and acute ischemic stroke are life-threatening conditions involving complex interactions across cortical, brainstem, and autonomic systems. We present a unified geometric-stochastic multimodal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Preksha Girish , Rachana Mysore , Mahanthesha U , Shrey Kumar , Misbah Fatimah Annigeri , Tanish Jain

Schr\"odinger bridges have emerged as an enabling framework for unveiling the stochastic dynamics of systems based on marginal observations at different points in time. The terminology "bridge'' refers to a probability law that suitably…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Olga Movilla Miangolarra , Asmaa Eldesoukey , Tryphon T. Georgiou
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