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Cryptocurrency markets are experiencing rapid growth, but this expansion comes with significant challenges, particularly in predicting cryptocurrency prices for traders in the U.S. In this study, we explore how deep learning and machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Md Zahidul Islam , Md Shafiqur Rahman , Md Sumsuzoha , Babul Sarker , Md Rafiqul Islam , Mahfuz Alam , Sanjib Kumar Shil

This study investigates the impact of machine learning models on the generation of counterfactual explanations by conducting a benchmark evaluation over three different types of models: a decision tree (fully transparent, interpretable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Catarina Moreira , Yu-Liang Chou , Chihcheng Hsieh , Chun Ouyang , João Madeiras Pereira , Joaquim Jorge

We develop an analysis of the cryptocurrency market borrowing methods and concepts from ecology. This approach makes it possible to identify specific diversity patterns and their variation, in close analogy with ecological systems, and to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-22 Edgardo Brigatti , Estevan Augusto Amazonas Mendes

We investigate connectedness within and across two major groups or assets: i) five popular cryptocurrencies, and ii) six major asset classes plus two commonly employed risk factors. Granger-causality tests uncover six direct channels of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 George Milunovich

We empirically verify that the market capitalisations of coins and tokens in the cryptocurrency universe follow power-law distributions with significantly different values, with the tail exponent falling between 0.5 and 0.7 for coins, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-11 Ke Wu , Spencer Wheatley , Didier Sornette

On a periodic basis, publicly traded companies report fundamentals, financial data including revenue, earnings, debt, among others. Quantitative finance research has identified several factors, functions of the reported data that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-16 Lakshay Chauhan , John Alberg , Zachary C. Lipton

Cryptocurrencies have become a popular and widely researched topic of interest in recent years for investors and scholars. In order to make informed investment decisions, it is essential to comprehend the factors that impact cryptocurrency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Abdulrezzak Zekiye , Semih Utku , Fadi Amroush , Oznur Ozkasap

The non-fungible token (NFT) market emerges as a recent trading innovation leveraging blockchain technology, mirroring the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. The current study is based on the capitalization changes and transaction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Marcin Wątorek , Paweł Szydło , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Amit Kumar , Taoran Ji

Cryptocurrencies are digital tokens built on blockchain technology, with thousands actively traded on centralized exchanges (CEXs). Unlike stocks, which are backed by real businesses, cryptocurrencies are recognized as a distinct class of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-18 Yu Zhang , Zelin Wu , Claudio Tessone

In relation to the traditional financial markets, the cryptocurrency market is a recent invention and the trading dynamics of all its components are readily recorded and stored. This fact opens up a unique opportunity to follow the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-11 Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

We discuss the foundations of factor or regression models in the light of the self-consistency condition that the market portfolio (and more generally the risk factors) is (are) constituted of the assets whose returns it is (they are)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

Cryptocoins (i.e., Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin) are tradable digital assets. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption techniques guarantee the security of the transactions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

Crypto Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) shape Web3 narratives and retail investment behaviour. In volatile, high-risk markets, their credibility becomes a key determinant of their influence on followers. Yet prior research has focused on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Alexander Kropiunig , Svetlana Kremer , Bernhard Haslhofer

We demonstrate market inefficiency in cryptoasset markets. Our approach examines investments that share a dominant risk factor but differ in their exposure to a secondary risk. We derive equilibrium restrictions that must hold regardless of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-13 Joel Hasbrouck , Julian Ma , Fahad Saleh , Caspar Schwarz-Schilling

The risk premia of traded factors are the sum of factor means and a parameter vector we denote by {\phi} which is identified from the cross section regression of alpha of individual securities on the vector of factor loadings. If phi is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-23 M. Hashem Pesaran , Ron P. Smith

We document stable cross-asset patterns in cryptocurrency limit-order-book microstructure: the same engineered order book and trade features exhibit remarkably similar predictive importance and SHAP dependence shapes across assets spanning…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Bartosz Bieganowski , Robert Ślepaczuk

Explainability in classification results are dependent upon the features used for classification. Data dependency graph features representing data movement are directly correlated with operational semantics, and subject to fine grained…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-09 John Musgrave , Anca Ralescu

Story points are unitless, project-specific effort estimates that help developers plan their sprints. Traditionally, developers have collaboratively estimated story points using planning poker or other manual techniques. Machine learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Monoshiz Mahbub Khan , Xiaoyin Xi , Andrew Meneely , Yiming Tang , Zhe Yu