Related papers: Foresight Learning for SEC Risk Prediction
In Business Intelligence, accurate predictive modeling is the key for providing adaptive decisions. We studied predictive modeling problems in this research which was motivated by real-world cases that Microsoft data scientists encountered…
Event sequence data is increasingly available in various application domains, such as business process management, software engineering, or medical pathways. Processes in these domains are typically represented as process diagrams or flow…
Estimating catastrophic harms from frontier AI is hindered by deep ambiguity: many of its risks are not only unobserved but unanticipated by analysts. The central limitation of current risk analysis is the inability to populate the…
Deep learning models can encounter unexpected failures, especially when dealing with challenging sub-populations. One common reason for these failures is the occurrence of objects in backgrounds that are rarely seen during training. To gain…
Decision-making is a dynamic process requiring perception, memory, and reasoning to make choices and find optimal policies. Traditional approaches to decision-making suffer from sample efficiency and generalization, while large-scale…
Machine learning models underpin many modern financial systems for use cases such as fraud detection and churn prediction. Most are based on supervised learning with hand-engineered features, which relies heavily on the availability of…
We present a reinforcement-learning (RL) framework for dynamic hedging of equity index option exposures under realistic transaction costs and position limits. We hedge a normalized option-implied equity exposure (one unit of underlying…
Every publicly traded company in the US is required to file an annual 10-K financial report, which contains a wealth of information about the company. In this paper, we propose an explainable deep-learning model, called FinBERT-XRC, that…
Financial risks can propagate across both tightly coupled temporal and spatial dimensions, posing significant threats to financial stability. Moreover, risks embedded in unlabeled data are often difficult to detect. To address these…
To assess generalization, machine learning scientists typically either (i) bound the generalization gap and then (after training) plug in the empirical risk to obtain a bound on the true risk; or (ii) validate empirically on holdout data.…
Diffusion large language models promise faster generation by refining many token positions in parallel, but this parallelism introduces a hidden control problem: which proposed tokens should be transferred into the partially decoded…
Open-source software (OSS) dependencies introduce systemic risks that are difficult to manage at scale. Existing Software Composition Analysis (SCA) and reachability tools generate severe alert fatigue by treating risk as an intrinsic…
Circuit representation learning is a promising research direction in the electronic design automation (EDA) field. With sufficient data for pre-training, the learned general yet effective representation can help to solve multiple downstream…
The recent explosion in the capabilities of large language models has led to a wave of interest in how best to prompt a model to perform a given task. While it may be tempting to simply choose a prompt based on average performance on a…
End-to-end learning has emerged as a major paradigm for developing autonomous systems. Unfortunately, with its performance and convenience comes an even greater challenge of safety assurance. A key factor of this challenge is the absence of…
Accumulating substantial volumes of real-world driving data proves pivotal in the realm of trajectory forecasting for autonomous driving. Given the heavy reliance of current trajectory forecasting models on data-driven methodologies, we aim…
Nowadays, organizations collect vast quantities of sensitive information in `Enterprise Resource Planning' (ERP) systems, such as accounting relevant transactions, customer master data, or strategic sales price information. The leakage of…
Process data with confidential information cannot be shared directly in public, which hinders the research in process data mining and analytics. Data encryption methods have been studied to protect the data, but they still may be decrypted,…
With the rapid advancements of deep learning in the past decade, it can be foreseen that deep learning will be continuously deployed in more and more safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving and robotics. In this context,…
Development of comprehensive prediction models are often of great interest in many disciplines of science, but datasets with information on all desired features often have small sample sizes. We describe a transfer learning approach for…