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In this article, we first establish the joint central limit theorem (CLT) for the extreme eigenvalues of the sample correlation matrix of high-dimensional random walks with cross-sectional dependence. We further investigate the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Ruihan Liu , Chen Wang

In this paper, we consider a nonlinear filtering model with observations driven by correlated Wiener processes and point processes. We first derive a Zakai equation whose solution is a unnormalized probability density function of the filter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Fengshan Zhang , Yongkui Zou , Shimin Chai , Yanzhao Cao

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-01 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin , Jake Easto

The Hawkes process is a widely used model in many areas, such as finance, seismology, neuroscience, epidemiology, and social sciences. Estimation of the Hawkes process from continuous observations of a sample path is relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Feng Chen , Jeffrey Kwan , Tom Stindl

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we study the frequentist properties of Bayesian approaches in linear high dimensional Hawkes processes in a sparse regime where the number of interaction functions acting on each component of the Hawkes process is much smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Judith Rousseau , Vincent Rivoirard , Déborah Sulem

This paper shows how to compute, for probabilistic hybrid systems, the clock approximation and linear phase-portrait approximation that have been proposed for non probabilistic processes by Henzinger et al. The techniques permit to define a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-07-07 Joseph Assouramou , Josée Desharnais

This work is devoted to the Lipschitz contraction and the long time behavior of certain Markov processes. These processes diffuse and jump. They can represent some natural phenomena like size of cell or data transmission over the Internet.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Bertrand Cloez

Multivariate Hawkes processes are a widely used class of self-exciting point processes, but maximum likelihood estimation naively scales as $O(N^2)$ in the number of events. The canonical linear exponential Hawkes process admits a faster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ahmer Raza , Hudson Smith

We propose a simulation method for multidimensional Hawkes processes based on superposition theory of point processes. This formulation allows us to design efficient simulations for Hawkes processes with differing exponentially decaying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-14 Kar Wai Lim , Young Lee , Leif Hanlen , Hongbiao Zhao

This paper studies one-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, with the distinguishing feature that they are reflected on a single boundary (put at level 0) or two boundaries (put at levels 0 and d>0). In the literature they are referred…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

We establish a central limit theorem (CLT) for families of products of $\epsilon$-independent random variables. We utilize graphon limits to encode the evolution of independence and characterize the limiting distribution. Our framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guillaume Cébron , Patrick Oliveira Santos , Pierre Youssef

The Carleman linearization is one of the mainstream approaches to lift a finite-dimensional nonlinear dynamical system into an infinite-dimensional linear system with the promise of providing accurate approximations of the original…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Arash Amini , Cong Zheng , Qiyu Sun , Nader Motee

We give a new proof of the classical Central Limit Theorem, in the Mallows ($L^r$-Wasserstein) distance. Our proof is elementary in the sense that it does not require complex analysis, but rather makes use of a simple subadditive inequality…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Oliver Johnson , Richard Samworth

Hawkes process models are used in settings where past events increase the likelihood of future events occurring. Many applications record events as counts on a regular grid, yet discrete-time Hawkes models remain comparatively underused and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin

Contraction in Wasserstein 1-distance with explicit rates is established for generalized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with stochastic gradients under possibly nonconvex conditions. The algorithms considered include splitting schemes of kinetic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Martin Chak , Pierre Monmarché

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

A number of researchers have independently introduced topologies on the set of laws of stochastic processes that extend the usual weak topology. Depending on the respective scientific background this was motivated by applications and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Julio Backhoff , Daniel Bartl , Mathias Beiglböck , Johannes Wiesel

In this paper, we obtain a $p$-th moment bound for the suprema of a log-concave-tailed nonhomogeneous chaos process, which is optimal in some special cases. A crucial ingredient of the proof is a novel decoupling inequality, which may be of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Guozheng Dai , Zhonggen Su , Vladimir Ulyanov , Hanchao Wang

In this paper we establish spatial central limit theorems for a large class of supercritical branching Markov processes with general spatial-dependent branching mechanisms. These are generalizations of the spatial central limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Y. -X. Ren , R. Song , R. Zhang
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