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In this paper non-asymptotic exponential and moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time martingale under norming sequence 1/n, as in the classical Law of Large Numbers (LLN), by means of martingale differences…

We establish a rigorous duality theory, under No Unbounded Profit with Bounded Risk, for an infinite horizon problem of optimal consumption in the presence of an income stream that can terminate randomly at an exponentially distributed…

Let $P$ be the transition matrix of a finite, irreducible and reversible Markov chain. We say the continuous time Markov chain $X$ has transition matrix $P$ and speed $\lambda$ if it jumps at rate $\lambda$ according to the matrix $P$. Fix…

We deduce in this paper the sufficient conditions for weak convergence of centered and normed deviation of the u-statistics with values in the space of the real valued continuous function defined on some compact metric space. We obtain also…

We study the persistence exponent for the first passage time of a random walk below the trajectory of another random walk. More precisely, let $\{B_n\}$ and $\{W_n\}$ be two centered, weakly dependent random walks. We establish that…

Recently, D. Williams \cite{williams} gave an explicit example of a random time $\rho $ associated with Brownian motion such that $\rho $ is not a stopping time but $\mathbb{E}M_{\rho}=\mathbb{E}M_{0}$ for every bounded martingale $M$. The…

New proofs are given of the existence of the compensator (or dual predictable projection) of a locally integrable c\'adl\'ag adapted process of finite variation and of the existence of the quadratic variation process for a c\'adl\'ag local…

The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a…

We are concerned with a new type of supermartingale decomposition in the Max-Plus algebra, which essentially consists in expressing any supermartingale of class $(\mathcal{D})$ as a conditional expectation of some running supremum process.…

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

Beiglb\"ock and Juillet ("On a problem of optimal transport under marginal martingale constraints") introduced the left-curtain martingale coupling of probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$, and proved that, when the initial law $\mu$ is…

This note investigates core properties of martingales, emphasizing the measure-theoretic formulation of conditional expectation, the martingale transform, and the upcrossing lemma. These results lead to the Martingale Convergence Theorem,…

We prove a robust super-hedging duality result for path-dependent options on assets with jumps, in a continuous time setting. It requires that the collection of martingale measures is rich enough and that the payoff function satisfies some…

In a preceding article, we have studied a generalization of the problem of finding a martingale on a manifold whose terminal value is known. This article completes the results obtained in the first article by providing uniqueness and…

Motivated by random evolutions which do not start from equilibrium, in a recent work, Peligrad and Voln\'{y} (2018) showed that the quenched CLT (central limit theorem) holds for ortho-martingale random fields. In this paper, we study the…

This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…

We study the termination problem for nondeterministic recursive probabilistic programs. First, we show that a ranking-supermartingales-based approach is both sound and complete for bounded terminiation (i.e., bounded expected termination…

Let $\eta_{1},\eta_2,...$ be independent (not necessarily identically distributed) zero-mean random variables (r.v.'s) such that $|\eta_i|\le1$ almost surely for all $i$, and let $Z$ stand for a standard normal r.v. Let $a_1,a_2,...$ be any…

Expectile bears some interesting properties in comparison to the industry wide expected shortfall in terms of assessment of tail risk. We study the relationship between expectile and expected shortfall using duality results and the link to…

We provide a composite version of Ville's theorem that an event has zero measure if and only if there exists a nonnegative martingale which explodes to infinity when that event occurs. This is a classic result connecting measure-theoretic…