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Deep neural networks often produce miscalibrated probability estimates, leading to overconfident predictions. A common approach for calibration is fitting a post-hoc calibration map on unseen validation data that transforms predicted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Yunrui Zhang , Gustavo Batista , Salil S. Kanhere

Calibration of machine learning classifiers is necessary to obtain reliable and interpretable predictions, bridging the gap between model confidence and actual probabilities. One prominent technique, isotonic regression (IR), aims at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Eugene Berta , Francis Bach , Michael Jordan

Accurate and reliable probability predictions are essential for multi-class supervised learning tasks, where well-calibrated models enable rational decision-making. While isotonic regression has proven effective for binary calibration, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Alon Arad , Saharon Rosset

Ranking models primarily focus on modeling the relative order of predictions while often neglecting the significance of the accuracy of their absolute values. However, accurate absolute values are essential for certain downstream tasks,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Yimeng Bai , Shunyu Zhang , Yang Zhang , Hu Liu , Wentian Bao , Enyun Yu , Fuli Feng , Wenwu Ou

The goal of ordinal embedding is to represent items as points in a low-dimensional Euclidean space given a set of constraints in the form of distance comparisons like "item $i$ is closer to item $j$ than item $k$". Ordinal constraints like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Lalit Jain , Kevin Jamieson , Robert Nowak

Different studies of the embedding space of transformer models suggest that the distribution of contextual representations is highly anisotropic - the embeddings are distributed in a narrow cone. Meanwhile, static word representations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Yue Ding , Karolis Martinkus , Damian Pascual , Simon Clematide , Roger Wattenhofer

Abstract Post hoc recalibration of prediction uncertainties of machine learning regression problems by isotonic regression might present a problem for bin-based calibration error statistics (e.g. ENCE). Isotonic regression often produces…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 Pascal Pernot

To study asymptotic structures, we regularize Einstein's field equations by means of conformal transformations. The conformal factor is chosen so that it carries a dimensional scale that captures crucial asymptotic features. By choosing a…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-11 Niklas Rohr , Claes Uggla

Introduced by Gromov in the 80's, coarse embeddings are a generalization of quasi-isometric embeddings when the control functions are not necessarily affine. In this paper, we will be particularly interested in coarse embeddings between…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Oussama Bensaid

This paper studies the estimation and inference for the isotonic regression at the boundary point, an object that is particularly interesting and required in the analysis of monotone regression discontinuity designs. We show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Andrii Babii , Rohit Kumar

Motivated by the desire to numerically calculate rigorous upper and lower bounds on deviation probabilities over large classes of probability distributions, we present an adaptive algorithm for the reconstruction of increasing real-valued…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 L. Bonnet , J. -L. Akian , É. Savin , T. J. Sullivan

Snapshot matrices of hyperbolic equations have a slow singular value decay, resulting in inefficient reduced-order models. We develop on the idea of inducing a faster singular value decay by computing snapshots on a transformed spatial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Neeraj Sarna , Jan Giesselmann , Peter Benner

Despite extensive research on neural network calibration, existing methods typically apply global transformations that treat all predictions uniformly, overlooking the heterogeneous reliability of individual predictions. Furthermore, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Hassan Gharoun , Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi , Kasra Ranjbarigderi , Fang Chen , Amir H. Gandomi

We investigate the calibration of estimations to increase performance with an optimal monotone transform on the estimator outputs. We start by studying the traditional square error setting with its weighted variant and show that the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

We propose causal isotonic calibration, a novel nonparametric method for calibrating predictors of heterogeneous treatment effects. Furthermore, we introduce cross-calibration, a data-efficient variant of calibration that eliminates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-07 Lars van der Laan , Ernesto Ulloa-Pérez , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

This article addresses gaps in definitions and a lack of standard measurement techniques to assess the spatial resolution in atom probe tomography. This resolution is known to be anisotropic, being better in the depth than laterally.…

The inverse problem of electrical impedance tomography is severely ill-posed, meaning that, only limited information about the conductivity can in practice be recovered from boundary measurements of electric current and voltage. Recently it…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-20 Henrik Garde , Stratos Staboulis

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, yet they are often underpowered for detecting effect heterogeneity. Large observational studies (OS) can supplement RCTs for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal

It is well-known that point sources with sufficient mutual distance can be reconstructed exactly from finitely many Fourier measurements by solving a convex optimization problem with Tikhonov-regularization (this property is sometimes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Martin Holler , Benedikt Wirth

The basic tool for solving problems in metric geometry and isotonic regression is the metric projection onto closed convex cones. Isotonicity of these projections with respect to a given order relation can facilitate finding the solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 A. B. Németh , S. Z. Németh
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